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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Carlisle x Charlton Betting tips for November 25 in England League 1
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 England League 1
Carlisle Carlisle
PREDICTION Charlton Wins Probability 56% 1 X 2
Charlton Charlton
ODD: @2.3 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Carlisle x Charlton Betting tips for November 25 in England League 1

Our betting tip for Carlisle x Charlton, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
15:00
Carlisle Carlisle
2.86
X
3.35
Charlton Charlton
2.30

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Carlisle x Charlton:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Charlton wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Charlton, you can win up to $1150.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Carlisle x Charlton:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Carlisle in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-70.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Charlton in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-96.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, Charlton scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 Charlton matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, Charlton conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 road matches, Charlton has not lost any of them.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Carlisle x Charlton

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Carlisle x Charlton?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2023. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Carlisle x Charlton for the England League 1 – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Carlisle X Charlton – England League 1
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 15:00
๐Ÿ”ต Carlisle – Winning probability: 24.26% | Fair line: 4.12
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 18.80% | Fair line: 5.32
๐Ÿ”ด Charlton – Winning probability: 56.95% | Fair line: 1.76
โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Carlisle
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Carlisle x Charlton right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1025263 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Carlisle x Charlton

Is betting on Carlisle worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต Carlisle: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.26% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.86. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $446.40;
  • And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$313.60.

Is betting on draw worth it?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.8% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.35. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 190 times – this would give you a profit of $446.50
  • And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$363.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on Charlton?

๐Ÿ”ด Charlton: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 56.95%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 570 times – profiting $741.00;
  • And would lose other 430 times – having a loss of -$430.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$311.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Carlisle x Charlton

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Carlisle
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Carlisle x Charlton

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Carlisle, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Carlisle.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Carlisle x Charlton

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves