Carlisle x Crewe Betting tips for November 30 in England League 2

Our betting tip for Carlisle x Crewe, Saturday, 30/11/2024

📅 30/11/2024 12:30

Carlisle 2.70

X 3.24

Crewe 2.51

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Carlisle x Crewe:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Carlisle x Crewe

Important information for your tip for Carlisle x Crewe: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Carlisle in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Crewe in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-100.0. 👉 Carlisle did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as home team. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Crewe scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 Carlisle matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 Crewe matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 road matches, Crewe has not lost any of them.

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Analysis from Carlisle x Crewe for the England League 2 – 30 of November

When the best bet on Carlisle x Crewe is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1229690 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Carlisle x Crewe

Is it worth betting on Carlisle?

🔵 Carlisle: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 33.29%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 330 times – profiting $561.00;
• And would have lost other 670 times – with a loss of -$670.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$109.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.44%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.24. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $627.20
• And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$92.80.

Should you bet on Crewe?

🔴 Crewe: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 38.27% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.51. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 380 times – profiting $573.80;
• And would lose other 620 times – losing -$620.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$46.20.

Handicaps analysis for the match Carlisle x Crewe

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Carlisle
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Carlisle x Crewe

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Carlisle and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Carlisle.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Crewe.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Carlisle x Crewe

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.