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Home » Predictions » Others » Carlisle x Doncaster Betting tips for November 23 in England League 2
Saturday, 23 November 2024, 15h00 England League 2
Carlisle Carlisle
PREDICTION Doncaster Wins Probability 57% 1 X 2
Doncaster Doncaster
ODD: @2.1 Don't miss this prediction!

Carlisle x Doncaster Betting tips for November 23 in England League 2

Our betting tip for Carlisle x Doncaster, Saturday, 23/11/2024
📅 23/11/2024
15:00
Carlisle Carlisle
3.30
X
3.31
Doncaster Doncaster
2.10

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Carlisle x Doncaster:

🔮 Doncaster wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Doncaster, you can win up to $1050.00!

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The main points for the tip for Carlisle x Doncaster:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Carlisle in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Doncaster in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $640.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Doncaster scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Doncaster, Carlisle scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 Carlisle matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Carlisle x Doncaster, with Carlisle as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Carlisle conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 road matches, Doncaster has not lost any of them.

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Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Carlisle x Doncaster?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Carlisle x Doncaster, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Carlisle x Doncaster for the England League 2 – 23 of November

🏟️ Carlisle X Doncaster – England League 2
📅 23 of November, 2024 – 15:00
🔵 Carlisle – Winning probability: 21.38% | Fair line: 4.68
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 21.37% | Fair line: 4.68
🔴 Doncaster – Winning probability: 57.24% | Fair line: 1.75
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Carlisle
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Carlisle and Doncaster.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1225887 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Carlisle x Doncaster

Is it a good idea to bet on Carlisle?

🔵 Carlisle: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.38%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $483.00;
  • And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$307.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.37% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.31. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – profiting $485.10;
  • And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$304.90.

Is betting on Doncaster worth it?

🔴 Doncaster: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 57.24%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 570 times – this would give you a profit of $627.00
  • And would lose other 430 times – losing -$430.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$197.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Carlisle x Doncaster

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Carlisle
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Carlisle x Doncaster

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Carlisle, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Carlisle.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Doncaster.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Carlisle x Doncaster

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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