Carlisle x Notts County Betting tips for October 1 in England League 2

Our betting tip for Carlisle x Notts County, Tuesday, 1/10/2024

📅 1/10/2024 15:45

Carlisle 2.55

X 3.51

Notts County 2.45

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Carlisle x Notts County:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Carlisle x Notts County

Some important points for the tip for Carlisle x Notts County: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Carlisle in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-270.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Notts County in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $225.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Carlisle scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Notts County scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Notts County, Carlisle scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Carlisle matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Carlisle conceded at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Notts County conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Carlisle conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Notts County. 👉 In the last 6 road matches, Notts County has not lost any of them. 👉 It is not a good time for Carlisle as home team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last home matches.

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Carlisle x Notts County?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Carlisle x Notts County for the England League 2 – 1 of October

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Carlisle and Notts County.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1192611 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Carlisle x Notts County

Is it worth betting on Carlisle?

🔵 Carlisle: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 36.43% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.55. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 360 times – this would give you a profit of $558.00
• And would lose other 640 times – having a loss of -$640.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$82.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.45%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.51. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $502.00
• And would lose other 800 times – losing -$800.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$298.00.

Is betting on Notts County worth it?

🔴 Notts County: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 43.12% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 430 times – profiting $623.50;
• And would have lost other 570 times – with a loss of -$570.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$53.50, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Handicaps analysis for the match Carlisle x Notts County

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Carlisle
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Carlisle x Notts County

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Carlisle, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Carlisle.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Carlisle x Notts County

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.