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Home » Predictions » Carlos Manucci x Cesar Vallejo Betting tips for May 19 in Peru Liga 1
Sunday, 19 May 2024, 23h00 Peru Liga 1
Carlos Manucci Carlos Manucci
PREDICTION Cesar Vallejo Wins Probability 42% 1 X 2
Cesar Vallejo Cesar Vallejo
ODD: @2.6 Don't miss this prediction!

Carlos Manucci x Cesar Vallejo Betting tips for May 19 in Peru Liga 1

Our betting tip for Carlos Manucci x Cesar Vallejo, Sunday, 19/5/2024
📅 19/5/2024
23:00
Carlos Manucci Carlos Manucci
2.60
X
3.00
Cesar Vallejo Cesar Vallejo
2.60

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Carlos Manucci x Cesar Vallejo:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1500.00!

🔮 Cesar Vallejo wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Cesar Vallejo, you can win up to $1300.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Carlos Manucci x Cesar Vallejo:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Carlos Manucci in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $85.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Cesar Vallejo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 Cesar Vallejo matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Cesar Vallejo conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Carlos Manucci x Cesar Vallejo?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Carlos Manucci x Cesar Vallejo, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Carlos Manucci x Cesar Vallejo for the Peru Liga 1 – 19 of May

🏟️ Carlos Manucci X Cesar Vallejo – Peru Liga 1
📅 19 of May, 2024 – 23:00
🔵 Carlos Manucci – Winning probability: 21.40% | Fair line: 4.67
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 36.49% | Fair line: 2.74
🔴 Cesar Vallejo – Winning probability: 42.11% | Fair line: 2.37
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Carlos Manucci
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Carlos Manucci x Cesar Vallejo right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1120517 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Carlos Manucci x Cesar Vallejo

Is betting on Carlos Manucci worth it?

🔵 Carlos Manucci: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.4% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $336.00;
  • And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$454.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 36.49% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 360 times – profiting $720.00;
  • And would lose other 640 times – having a loss of -$640.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$80.00.

Is betting on Cesar Vallejo worth it?

🔴 Cesar Vallejo: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 42.11% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 420 times – profiting $672.00;
  • And would lose other 580 times – having a loss of -$580.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$92.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Carlos Manucci x Cesar Vallejo

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Carlos Manucci
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Carlos Manucci x Cesar Vallejo

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Carlos Manucci, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Carlos Manucci.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Carlos Manucci.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Carlos Manucci x Cesar Vallejo

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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