Casarano x US Palmese 1914 Betting tips for September 29 in Italy Serie D
| 📅 29/9/2024 10:00 |
 Casarano1.63 |
X 3.50 |
US Palmese 1914  4.40 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Casarano x US Palmese 1914:
🔮 Casarano wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Casarano, you can win up to $815.00!
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Important information for your tip for Casarano x US Palmese 1914: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Casarano in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-98.0. |
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Analysis from Casarano x US Palmese 1914 for the Italy Serie D – 29 of September
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🏟️ Casarano X US Palmese 1914 – Italy Serie D |
When the best bet on Casarano x US Palmese 1914 is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Casarano x US Palmese 1914
Is it a good idea to bet on Casarano?
🔵 Casarano: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 70.87% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.63. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 710 times – having a profit of $447.30;
- And would lose other 290 times – losing -$290.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$157.30.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 19.49% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $475.00;
- And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$335.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on US Palmese 1914?
🔴 US Palmese 1914: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 9.64%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 100 times – this would give you a profit of $340.00
- And would lose other 900 times – losing -$900.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$560.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Casarano x US Palmese 1914
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Casarano
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Casarano x US Palmese 1914
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Casarano and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Casarano.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Casarano x US Palmese 1914
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
