Castelfidardo x FC Forsempronese Betting tips for December 14 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for Castelfidardo x FC Forsempronese, Sunday, 14/12/2025

📅 14/12/2025 13:30

Castelfidardo 2.50

X 3.30

FC Forsempronese 2.40

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Castelfidardo x FC Forsempronese:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Castelfidardo x FC Forsempronese

Important information for your tip for Castelfidardo x FC Forsempronese:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Castelfidardo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on FC Forsempronese in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $195.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Castelfidardo conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Castelfidardo x FC Forsempronese?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2025. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Castelfidardo x FC Forsempronese for the Italy Serie D – 14 of December

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Castelfidardo and FC Forsempronese.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1452657 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Castelfidardo x FC Forsempronese

Is betting on Castelfidardo worth it?

🔵 Castelfidardo: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 32.19% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $480.00;
• And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$200.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.97%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $667.00;
• And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$43.00.

Is it worth betting on FC Forsempronese?

🔴 FC Forsempronese: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 38.84% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 390 times – having a profit of $546.00;
• And would lose other 610 times – losing -$610.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$64.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Castelfidardo x FC Forsempronese

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Castelfidardo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Castelfidardo x FC Forsempronese

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Castelfidardo and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Castelfidardo.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 FC Forsempronese.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Castelfidardo x FC Forsempronese

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.