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Home » Predictions » Others » Cavalier x Humble Lions Betting tips for December 22 in Jamaica Premier League
Sunday, 22 December 2024, 22h30 Jamaica Premier League
Cavalier Cavalier
PREDICTION Cavalier wins Probability 81% 1 X 2
Humble Lions Humble Lions
ODD: @1.36 Don't miss this prediction!

Cavalier x Humble Lions Betting tips for December 22 in Jamaica Premier League

Our betting tip for Cavalier x Humble Lions, Sunday, 22/12/2024
📅 22/12/2024
22:30
Cavalier Cavalier
1.36
X
4.10
Humble Lions Humble Lions
7.44

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Cavalier x Humble Lions:

🔮 Cavalier wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Cavalier, you can win up to $680.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Cavalier x Humble Lions:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Cavalier in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $171.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Humble Lions in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-280.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Cavalier scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 Humble Lions matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Cavalier x Humble Lions, with Cavalier as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Cavalier x Humble Lions?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Cavalier x Humble Lions:

Analysis from Cavalier x Humble Lions for the Jamaica Premier League – 22 of December

🏟️ Cavalier X Humble Lions – Jamaica Premier League
📅 22 of December, 2024 – 22:30
🔵 Cavalier – Winning probability: 81.37% | Fair line: 1.23
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 14.79% | Fair line: 6.76
🔴 Humble Lions – Winning probability: 3.84% | Fair line: 26.06
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Cavalier
⚽ Expected goals: 3.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Cavalier x Humble Lions right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1239281 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Cavalier x Humble Lions

Is betting on Cavalier worth it?

🔵 Cavalier: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 81.37%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.36. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 810 times – profiting $291.60;
  • And would have lost other 190 times – with a loss of -$190.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$101.60.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 14.79% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 150 times – profiting $465.00;
  • And would lose other 850 times – losing -$850.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$385.00.

Should you bet on Humble Lions?

🔴 Humble Lions: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 3.84%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 7.44. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 40 times – this would give you a profit of $257.60
  • And would lose other 960 times – losing -$960.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$702.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Cavalier x Humble Lions

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Cavalier
⚽ Expected goals: 3.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cavalier x Humble Lions

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 Cavalier, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Cavalier.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Cavalier.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cavalier x Humble Lions

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 1.00, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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