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Home » Predictions » Others » CD Bullense x El Palmar CF Estrella Grana Betting tips for September 29 in Spain Tercera Group 13
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 13h00 Spain Tercera Group 13
CD Bullense CD Bullense
PREDICTION No tip
El Palmar CF Estrella Grana El Palmar CF Estrella Grana
Don't miss this prediction!

CD Bullense x El Palmar CF Estrella Grana Betting tips for September 29 in Spain Tercera Group 13

Our betting tip for CD Bullense x El Palmar CF Estrella Grana, Sunday, 29/9/2024
📅 29/9/2024
13:00
CD Bullense CD Bullense
2.60
X
3.12
El Palmar CF Estrella Grana El Palmar CF Estrella Grana
2.36

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for CD Bullense x El Palmar CF Estrella Grana:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for CD Bullense x El Palmar CF Estrella Grana

The main points for the tip for CD Bullense x El Palmar CF Estrella Grana:

👉 CD Bullense did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, CD Bullense scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 CD Bullense is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on CD Bullense x El Palmar CF Estrella Grana?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on CD Bullense x El Palmar CF Estrella Grana, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from CD Bullense x El Palmar CF Estrella Grana for the Spain Tercera Group 13 – 29 of September

🏟️ CD Bullense X El Palmar CF Estrella Grana – Spain Tercera Group 13
📅 29 of September, 2024 – 13:00
🔵 CD Bullense – Winning probability: 25.29% | Fair line: 3.95
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.99% | Fair line: 3.45
🔴 El Palmar CF Estrella Grana – Winning probability: 45.72% | Fair line: 2.19
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 CD Bullense
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on CD Bullense x El Palmar CF Estrella Grana is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for CD Bullense x El Palmar CF Estrella Grana

Should you bet on CD Bullense?

🔵 CD Bullense: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.29% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $400.00;
  • And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$350.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.99% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.12. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $614.80;
  • And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$95.20.

Is it a good idea to bet on El Palmar CF Estrella Grana?

🔴 El Palmar CF Estrella Grana: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 45.72% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.36. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 460 times – profiting $625.60;
  • And would lose other 540 times – losing -$540.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$85.60. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

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Handicaps analysis for the match CD Bullense x El Palmar CF Estrella Grana

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 CD Bullense
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CD Bullense x El Palmar CF Estrella Grana

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 CD Bullense, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 CD Bullense.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 CD Bullense.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CD Bullense x El Palmar CF Estrella Grana

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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