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Home » Predictions » Others » CD Buzanada x Villa Sta Brigida Betting tips for September 29 in Spain Tercera Group 12
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 08h00 Spain Tercera Group 12
CD Buzanada CD Buzanada
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 38% 1 X 2
Villa Sta Brigida Villa Sta Brigida
ODD: @3.2 Don't miss this prediction!

CD Buzanada x Villa Sta Brigida Betting tips for September 29 in Spain Tercera Group 12

Our betting tip for CD Buzanada x Villa Sta Brigida, Sunday, 29/9/2024
📅 29/9/2024
08:00
CD Buzanada CD Buzanada
2.25
X
3.20
Villa Sta Brigida Villa Sta Brigida
2.82

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for CD Buzanada x Villa Sta Brigida:

🔮 Tied Match
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The main points for the tip for CD Buzanada x Villa Sta Brigida:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Villa Sta Brigida in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Villa Sta Brigida, CD Buzanada scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, CD Buzanada conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Villa Sta Brigida conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, CD Buzanada conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Villa Sta Brigida.
👉 It is not a good time for Villa Sta Brigida as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from CD Buzanada x Villa Sta Brigida for the Spain Tercera Group 12 – 29 of September

🏟️ CD Buzanada X Villa Sta Brigida – Spain Tercera Group 12
📅 29 of September, 2024 – 08:00
🔵 CD Buzanada – Winning probability: 34.36% | Fair line: 2.91
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 38.04% | Fair line: 2.63
🔴 Villa Sta Brigida – Winning probability: 27.60% | Fair line: 3.62
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 CD Buzanada
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on CD Buzanada x Villa Sta Brigida is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for CD Buzanada x Villa Sta Brigida

Is betting on CD Buzanada worth it?

🔵 CD Buzanada: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 34.36% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 340 times – having a profit of $425.00;
  • And would lose other 660 times – having a loss of -$660.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$235.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 38.04% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 380 times – having a profit of $836.00;
  • And would lose other 620 times – losing -$620.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$216.00.

Should you bet on Villa Sta Brigida?

🔴 Villa Sta Brigida: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.6% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.82. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 280 times – profiting $509.60;
  • And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$210.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match CD Buzanada x Villa Sta Brigida

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 CD Buzanada
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CD Buzanada x Villa Sta Brigida

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 CD Buzanada and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 CD Buzanada.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Villa Sta Brigida.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CD Buzanada x Villa Sta Brigida

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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