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Home » Predictions » Others » CD Castellon x Racing Ferrol Betting tips for November 27 in Spain Segunda
Wednesday, 27 November 2024, 18h00 Spain Segunda
CD Castellon CD Castellon
PREDICTION CD Castellon wins Probability 73% 1 X 2
Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol
ODD: @1.63 Don't miss this prediction!

CD Castellon x Racing Ferrol Betting tips for November 27 in Spain Segunda

Our betting tip for CD Castellon x Racing Ferrol, Wednesday, 27/11/2024
📅 27/11/2024
18:00
CD Castellon CD Castellon
1.63
X
3.83
Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol
5.00

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for CD Castellon x Racing Ferrol:

🔮 CD Castellon wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on CD Castellon, you can win up to $815.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for CD Castellon x Racing Ferrol:

👉 If you had bet $100 on CD Castellon in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-110.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Racing Ferrol in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-2.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, CD Castellon scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Racing Ferrol conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on CD Castellon x Racing Ferrol?

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Analysis from CD Castellon x Racing Ferrol for the Spain Segunda – 27 of November

🏟️ CD Castellon X Racing Ferrol – Spain Segunda
📅 27 of November, 2024 – 18:00
🔵 CD Castellon – Winning probability: 73.57% | Fair line: 1.36
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 13.81% | Fair line: 7.24
🔴 Racing Ferrol – Winning probability: 12.62% | Fair line: 7.93
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 CD Castellon
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for CD Castellon x Racing Ferrol right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1228778 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for CD Castellon x Racing Ferrol

Should you bet on CD Castellon?

🔵 CD Castellon: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 73.57%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.63. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 740 times – having a profit of $466.20;
  • And would lose other 260 times – having a loss of -$260.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$206.20.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 13.81% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.83. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 140 times – this would give you a profit of $396.20
  • And would lose other 860 times – losing -$860.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$463.80.

Should you bet on Racing Ferrol?

🔴 Racing Ferrol: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 12.62%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 130 times – profiting $520.00;
  • And would lose other 870 times – losing -$870.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$350.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match CD Castellon x Racing Ferrol

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 CD Castellon
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CD Castellon x Racing Ferrol

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 CD Castellon and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 CD Castellon.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 CD Castellon.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CD Castellon x Racing Ferrol

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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