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Home » Predictions » Others » CD Cayon x Gimnastica de Torrelavega Betting tips for December 14 in Spain Tercera Group 3
Sunday, 14 December 2025, 11h00 Spain Tercera Group 3
CD Cayon CD Cayon
PREDICTION No tip
Gimnastica de Torrelavega Gimnastica de Torrelavega
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CD Cayon x Gimnastica de Torrelavega Betting tips for December 14 in Spain Tercera Group 3

Our betting tip for CD Cayon x Gimnastica de Torrelavega, Sunday, 14/12/2025
📅 14/12/2025
11:00
CD Cayon CD Cayon
3.80
X
3.40
Gimnastica de Torrelavega Gimnastica de Torrelavega
1.80

Our algorithm has selected this tip for CD Cayon x Gimnastica de Torrelavega:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for CD Cayon x Gimnastica de Torrelavega

Important information for your tip for CD Cayon x Gimnastica de Torrelavega:

👉 If you had bet $100 on CD Cayon in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-30.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Gimnastica de Torrelavega in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $428.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, CD Cayon scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Gimnastica de Torrelavega scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Gimnastica de Torrelavega is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 5 wins in a row in its last road matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from CD Cayon x Gimnastica de Torrelavega for the Spain Tercera Group 3 – 14 of December

🏟️ CD Cayon X Gimnastica de Torrelavega – Spain Tercera Group 3
📅 14 of December, 2025 – 11:00
🔵 CD Cayon – Winning probability: 17.15% | Fair line: 5.83
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.90% | Fair line: 4.02
🔴 Gimnastica de Torrelavega – Winning probability: 57.95% | Fair line: 1.73
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 CD Cayon
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for CD Cayon x Gimnastica de Torrelavega right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1452657 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for CD Cayon x Gimnastica de Torrelavega

Is it a good idea to bet on CD Cayon?

🔵 CD Cayon: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 17.15%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $476.00;
  • And would lose other 830 times – losing -$830.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$354.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.9%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – profiting $600.00;
  • And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$150.00.

Should you bet on Gimnastica de Torrelavega?

🔴 Gimnastica de Torrelavega: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 57.95% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 580 times – having a profit of $464.00;
  • And would lose other 420 times – having a loss of -$420.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$44.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

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Handicaps analysis for the match CD Cayon x Gimnastica de Torrelavega

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 CD Cayon
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CD Cayon x Gimnastica de Torrelavega

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 CD Cayon and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 CD Cayon.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.5 CD Cayon.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CD Cayon x Gimnastica de Torrelavega

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves