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Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Spain Tercera Group 8
CD Colegios Diocesanos CD Colegios Diocesanos
PREDICTION No tip
At. Bembibre At. Bembibre
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CD Colegios Diocesanos x At. Bembibre Betting tips for November 25 in Spain Tercera Group 8

Our betting tip for CD Colegios Diocesanos x At. Bembibre, Saturday, 25/11/2023
πŸ“… 25/11/2023
15:00
CD Colegios Diocesanos CD Colegios Diocesanos
3.00
X
3.12
At. Bembibre At. Bembibre
2.14

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for CD Colegios Diocesanos x At. Bembibre:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for CD Colegios Diocesanos x At. Bembibre

Some important points for the tip for CD Colegios Diocesanos x At. Bembibre:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on CD Colegios Diocesanos in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, At. Bembibre scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 At. Bembibre matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, CD Colegios Diocesanos conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, At. Bembibre conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 road matches, At. Bembibre has not lost any of them.

πŸ“Š Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for CD Colegios Diocesanos x At. Bembibre

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Summary

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Analysis from CD Colegios Diocesanos x At. Bembibre for the Spain Tercera Group 8 – 25 of November

🏟️ CD Colegios Diocesanos X At. Bembibre – Spain Tercera Group 8
πŸ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 15:00
πŸ”΅ CD Colegios Diocesanos – Winning probability: 20.91% | Fair line: 4.78
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.05% | Fair line: 3.33
πŸ”΄ At. Bembibre – Winning probability: 49.04% | Fair line: 2.04
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 CD Colegios Diocesanos
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for CD Colegios Diocesanos x At. Bembibre right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1025263 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for CD Colegios Diocesanos x At. Bembibre

Should you bet on CD Colegios Diocesanos?

πŸ”΅ CD Colegios Diocesanos: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.91%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – profiting $420.00;
  • And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$370.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.05% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.12. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 300 times – having a profit of $636.00;
  • And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$64.00.

Should you bet on At. Bembibre?

πŸ”΄ At. Bembibre: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 49.04% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.14. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 490 times – profiting $558.60;
  • And would have lost other 510 times – with a loss of -$510.00 because of them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just πŸ’°$48.60. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

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Handicaps analysis for the match CD Colegios Diocesanos x At. Bembibre

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 CD Colegios Diocesanos
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CD Colegios Diocesanos x At. Bembibre

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 CD Colegios Diocesanos, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 CD Colegios Diocesanos.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 At. Bembibre.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CD Colegios Diocesanos x At. Bembibre

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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