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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» CD Cortes x Beti Kozkor KE Betting tips for November 25 in Spain Tercera Group 15
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Spain Tercera Group 15
CD Cortes CD Cortes
PREDICTION No tip
Beti Kozkor KE Beti Kozkor KE
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CD Cortes x Beti Kozkor KE Betting tips for November 25 in Spain Tercera Group 15

Our betting tip for CD Cortes x Beti Kozkor KE, Saturday, 25/11/2023
πŸ“… 25/11/2023
14:30
CD Cortes CD Cortes
1.75
X
3.40
Beti Kozkor KE Beti Kozkor KE
4.10

Our algorithm has selected this tip for CD Cortes x Beti Kozkor KE:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for CD Cortes x Beti Kozkor KE

The main points for the tip for CD Cortes x Beti Kozkor KE:

πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, CD Cortes scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 head-to-head matches between CD Cortes x Beti Kozkor KE, with CD Cortes as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, CD Cortes conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 road matches, Beti Kozkor KE has not lost any of them.

πŸ“Š You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for CD Cortes x Beti Kozkor KE

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Summary

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Analysis from CD Cortes x Beti Kozkor KE for the Spain Tercera Group 15 – 25 of November

🏟️ CD Cortes X Beti Kozkor KE – Spain Tercera Group 15
πŸ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 14:30
πŸ”΅ CD Cortes – Winning probability: 52.58% | Fair line: 1.9
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.55% | Fair line: 4.44
πŸ”΄ Beti Kozkor KE – Winning probability: 24.88% | Fair line: 4.02
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 CD Cortes
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between CD Cortes and Beti Kozkor KE.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1025263 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for CD Cortes x Beti Kozkor KE

Is betting on CD Cortes worth it?

πŸ”΅ CD Cortes: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 52.58% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 530 times – having a profit of $397.50;
  • And would lose other 470 times – having a loss of -$470.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$72.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.55% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – profiting $552.00;
  • And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$218.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Beti Kozkor KE?

πŸ”΄ Beti Kozkor KE: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.88%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $775.00;
  • And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just πŸ’°$25.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

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Handicaps analysis for the match CD Cortes x Beti Kozkor KE

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 CD Cortes
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CD Cortes x Beti Kozkor KE

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 CD Cortes and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 CD Cortes.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CD Cortes x Beti Kozkor KE

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves