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Home » Predictions » Others » CD Diocesano x CD Badajoz Betting tips for September 29 in Spain Tercera Group 14
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 12h30 Spain Tercera Group 14
CD Diocesano CD Diocesano
PREDICTION CD Badajoz Wins Probability 62% 1 X 2
CD Badajoz CD Badajoz
ODD: @1.94 Don't miss this prediction!

CD Diocesano x CD Badajoz Betting tips for September 29 in Spain Tercera Group 14

Our betting tip for CD Diocesano x CD Badajoz, Sunday, 29/9/2024
📅 29/9/2024
12:30
CD Diocesano CD Diocesano
3.49
X
3.25
CD Badajoz CD Badajoz
1.94

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for CD Diocesano x CD Badajoz:

🔮 CD Badajoz wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on CD Badajoz, you can win up to $970.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for CD Diocesano x CD Badajoz:

👉 If you had bet $100 on CD Badajoz in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-356.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, CD Diocesano scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, CD Badajoz scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 CD Badajoz matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, CD Badajoz conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on CD Diocesano x CD Badajoz?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on CD Diocesano x CD Badajoz, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from CD Diocesano x CD Badajoz for the Spain Tercera Group 14 – 29 of September

🏟️ CD Diocesano X CD Badajoz – Spain Tercera Group 14
📅 29 of September, 2024 – 12:30
🔵 CD Diocesano – Winning probability: 12.53% | Fair line: 7.98
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.73% | Fair line: 4.04
🔴 CD Badajoz – Winning probability: 62.74% | Fair line: 1.59
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 CD Diocesano
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for CD Diocesano x CD Badajoz right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for CD Diocesano x CD Badajoz

Is it worth betting on CD Diocesano?

🔵 CD Diocesano: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 12.53% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.49. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 130 times – profiting $323.70;
  • And would lose other 870 times – having a loss of -$870.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$546.30.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.73%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $562.50;
  • And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$187.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on CD Badajoz?

🔴 CD Badajoz: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 62.74% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.94. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 630 times – having a profit of $592.20;
  • And would lose other 370 times – losing -$370.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$222.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match CD Diocesano x CD Badajoz

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 CD Diocesano
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CD Diocesano x CD Badajoz

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 CD Diocesano and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 CD Diocesano.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.5 CD Diocesano.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CD Diocesano x CD Badajoz

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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