CD El Palo x Real Jaen Betting tips for November 30 in Spain Tercera Group 9
📅 30/11/2024 17:30 |
CD El Palo 4.24 |
X 3.60 |
Real Jaen 1.68 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for CD El Palo x Real Jaen:
🔮 Real Jaen wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Real Jaen, you can win up to $840.00!
Important information for your tip for CD El Palo x Real Jaen: 👉 If you had bet $100 on CD El Palo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-197.0. |
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Analysis from CD El Palo x Real Jaen for the Spain Tercera Group 9 – 30 of November
🏟️ CD El Palo X Real Jaen – Spain Tercera Group 9 |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for CD El Palo x Real Jaen right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1229690 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for CD El Palo x Real Jaen
Is it worth betting on CD El Palo?
🔵 CD El Palo: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 9.36% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.24. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 90 times – profiting $291.60;
- And would have lost other 910 times – with a loss of -$910.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$618.40.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.24% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 240 times – profiting $624.00;
- And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$136.00.
Is it worth betting on Real Jaen?
🔴 Real Jaen: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 66.4% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.68. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 660 times – having a profit of $448.80;
- And would lose other 340 times – losing -$340.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$108.80.
Handicaps analysis for the match CD El Palo x Real Jaen
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 CD El Palo
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CD El Palo x Real Jaen
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 CD El Palo and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.75 CD El Palo.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.75 CD El Palo.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CD El Palo x Real Jaen
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.