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Home » Predictions » Others » CD Estepona x Leganes Betting tips for December 4 in Spain Copa del Rey
Wednesday, 04 December 2024, 20h00 Spain Copa del Rey
CD Estepona CD Estepona
PREDICTION Leganes Wins Probability 87% 1 X 2
Leganes Leganes
ODD: @1.47 Don't miss this prediction!

CD Estepona x Leganes Betting tips for December 4 in Spain Copa del Rey

Our betting tip for CD Estepona x Leganes, Wednesday, 4/12/2024
📅 4/12/2024
20:00
CD Estepona CD Estepona
7.00
X
4.00
Leganes Leganes
1.47

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for CD Estepona x Leganes:

🔮 Leganes wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Leganes, you can win up to $735.00!

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The main points for the tip for CD Estepona x Leganes:

👉 If you had bet $100 on CD Estepona in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $191.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Leganes in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-382.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Leganes scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 CD Estepona matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, CD Estepona conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Leganes conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on CD Estepona x Leganes?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on CD Estepona x Leganes:

Analysis from CD Estepona x Leganes for the Spain Copa del Rey – 4 of December

🏟️ CD Estepona X Leganes – Spain Copa del Rey
📅 4 of December, 2024 – 20:00
🔵 CD Estepona – Winning probability: 3.75% | Fair line: 26.67
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 8.78% | Fair line: 11.39
🔴 Leganes – Winning probability: 87.47% | Fair line: 1.14
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 CD Estepona
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between CD Estepona and Leganes.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1232417 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for CD Estepona x Leganes

Is it a good idea to bet on CD Estepona?

🔵 CD Estepona: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 3.75% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 7.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 40 times – profiting $240.00;
  • And would lose other 960 times – losing -$960.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$720.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 8.78% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 90 times – this would give you a profit of $270.00
  • And would lose other 910 times – having a loss of -$910.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$640.00.

Is it worth betting on Leganes?

🔴 Leganes: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 87.47% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.47. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 870 times – this would give you a profit of $408.90
  • And would lose other 130 times – having a loss of -$130.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$278.90.

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Handicaps analysis for the match CD Estepona x Leganes

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 CD Estepona
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CD Estepona x Leganes

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 CD Estepona and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +1.25 CD Estepona.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.25 CD Estepona.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CD Estepona x Leganes

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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