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Home » Predictions » Others » CD Estepona x Puente Genil Betting tips for December 14 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4
Sunday, 14 December 2025, 11h00 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4
CD Estepona CD Estepona
PREDICTION No tip
Puente Genil Puente Genil
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CD Estepona x Puente Genil Betting tips for December 14 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4

Our betting tip for CD Estepona x Puente Genil, Sunday, 14/12/2025
📅 14/12/2025
11:00
CD Estepona CD Estepona
2.37
X
3.00
Puente Genil Puente Genil
2.85

Our algorithm has selected this tip for CD Estepona x Puente Genil:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for CD Estepona x Puente Genil

The main points for the tip for CD Estepona x Puente Genil:

👉 If you had bet $100 on CD Estepona in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Puente Genil in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 Puente Genil did not score any goals in the last 5 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, CD Estepona conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Puente Genil conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for CD Estepona as home team: it comes from 7 losses in a row in its last home matches.
👉 It is not a good time for Puente Genil as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from CD Estepona x Puente Genil for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4 – 14 of December

🏟️ CD Estepona X Puente Genil – Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4
📅 14 of December, 2025 – 11:00
🔵 CD Estepona – Winning probability: 32.00% | Fair line: 3.12
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.90% | Fair line: 3.24
🔴 Puente Genil – Winning probability: 37.10% | Fair line: 2.7
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 CD Estepona
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for CD Estepona x Puente Genil right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1452657 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for CD Estepona x Puente Genil

Should you bet on CD Estepona?

🔵 CD Estepona: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 32.0%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.37. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 320 times – profiting $438.40;
  • And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$241.60.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.9%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $620.00
  • And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$70.00.

Should you bet on Puente Genil?

🔴 Puente Genil: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 37.1% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.85. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 370 times – profiting $684.50;
  • And would lose other 630 times – having a loss of -$630.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$54.50, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

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Handicaps analysis for the match CD Estepona x Puente Genil

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 CD Estepona
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CD Estepona x Puente Genil

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 CD Estepona and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 CD Estepona.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Puente Genil.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CD Estepona x Puente Genil

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves