CD Guadalajara x Navalcarnero Betting tips for December 1 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5

Our betting tip for CD Guadalajara x Navalcarnero, Sunday, 1/12/2024

📅 1/12/2024 11:00

CD Guadalajara 1.75

X 3.30

Navalcarnero 4.30

Our algorithm has selected this tip for CD Guadalajara x Navalcarnero:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for CD Guadalajara x Navalcarnero

The main points for the tip for CD Guadalajara x Navalcarnero: 👉 If you had bet $100 on CD Guadalajara in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $492.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Navalcarnero in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-230.0. 👉 CD Guadalajara did not concede a goal in the last 6 matches as home team. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, CD Guadalajara scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 CD Guadalajara is good playing home: it has 6 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 In the last 3 road matches, Navalcarnero has not lost any of them.

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Analysis from CD Guadalajara x Navalcarnero for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5 – 1 of December

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between CD Guadalajara and Navalcarnero.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1230121 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for CD Guadalajara x Navalcarnero

Is it worth betting on CD Guadalajara?

🔵 CD Guadalajara: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 55.71%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 560 times – this would give you a profit of $420.00
• And would lose other 440 times – losing -$440.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$20.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.72%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $690.00
• And would lose other 700 times – losing -$700.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$10.00.

Should you bet on Navalcarnero?

🔴 Navalcarnero: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 14.57%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 150 times – this would give you a profit of $495.00
• And would have lost other 850 times – with a loss of -$850.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$355.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match CD Guadalajara x Navalcarnero

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 CD Guadalajara
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CD Guadalajara x Navalcarnero

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 CD Guadalajara, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 CD Guadalajara.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 CD Guadalajara.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CD Guadalajara x Navalcarnero

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.