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Home » Predictions » Others » CD Guarnizo x Castro Betting tips for September 29 in Spain Tercera Group 3
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 11h45 Spain Tercera Group 3
CD Guarnizo CD Guarnizo
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 32% 1 X 2
Castro Castro
ODD: @3.2 Don't miss this prediction!

CD Guarnizo x Castro Betting tips for September 29 in Spain Tercera Group 3

Our betting tip for CD Guarnizo x Castro, Sunday, 29/9/2024
📅 29/9/2024
11:45
CD Guarnizo CD Guarnizo
2.20
X
3.20
Castro Castro
2.80

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for CD Guarnizo x Castro:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1600.00!

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Some important points for the tip for CD Guarnizo x Castro:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Castro in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, CD Guarnizo conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 CD Guarnizo has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Castro playing at home.

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Summary

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If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on CD Guarnizo x Castro:

Analysis from CD Guarnizo x Castro for the Spain Tercera Group 3 – 29 of September

🏟️ CD Guarnizo X Castro – Spain Tercera Group 3
📅 29 of September, 2024 – 11:45
🔵 CD Guarnizo – Winning probability: 38.82% | Fair line: 2.58
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 32.73% | Fair line: 3.06
🔴 Castro – Winning probability: 28.45% | Fair line: 3.51
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 CD Guarnizo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on CD Guarnizo x Castro is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for CD Guarnizo x Castro

Is it worth betting on CD Guarnizo?

🔵 CD Guarnizo: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 38.82%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 390 times – this would give you a profit of $468.00
  • And would lose other 610 times – having a loss of -$610.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$142.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.73% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 330 times – profiting $726.00;
  • And would lose other 670 times – losing -$670.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$56.00.

Is betting on Castro worth it?

🔴 Castro: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.45%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $504.00;
  • And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$216.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match CD Guarnizo x Castro

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 CD Guarnizo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CD Guarnizo x Castro

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 CD Guarnizo and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 CD Guarnizo.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Castro.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CD Guarnizo x Castro

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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