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Home » Predictions » Others » CD Luis Angel Firpo x Alianza FC Betting tips for December 21 in El Salvador Apertura
Sunday, 21 December 2025, 00h15 El Salvador Apertura
CD Luis Angel Firpo CD Luis Angel Firpo
PREDICTION No tip
Alianza FC Alianza FC
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CD Luis Angel Firpo x Alianza FC Betting tips for December 21 in El Salvador Apertura

Our betting tip for CD Luis Angel Firpo x Alianza FC, Sunday, 21/12/2025
📅 21/12/2025
00:15
CD Luis Angel Firpo CD Luis Angel Firpo
2.44
X
2.91
Alianza FC Alianza FC
2.80

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for CD Luis Angel Firpo x Alianza FC:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for CD Luis Angel Firpo x Alianza FC

Some important points for the tip for CD Luis Angel Firpo x Alianza FC:

👉 If you had bet $100 on CD Luis Angel Firpo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $215.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Alianza FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $55.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, CD Luis Angel Firpo conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 road matches, Alianza FC has not lost any of them.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on CD Luis Angel Firpo x Alianza FC?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on CD Luis Angel Firpo x Alianza FC, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from CD Luis Angel Firpo x Alianza FC for the El Salvador Apertura – 21 of December

🏟️ CD Luis Angel Firpo X Alianza FC – El Salvador Apertura
📅 21 of December, 2025 – 00:15
🔵 CD Luis Angel Firpo – Winning probability: 25.22% | Fair line: 3.96
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 40.09% | Fair line: 2.49
🔴 Alianza FC – Winning probability: 34.69% | Fair line: 2.88
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 CD Luis Angel Firpo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on CD Luis Angel Firpo x Alianza FC is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1455188 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for CD Luis Angel Firpo x Alianza FC

Should you bet on CD Luis Angel Firpo?

🔵 CD Luis Angel Firpo: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.22% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.44. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – profiting $360.00;
  • And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$390.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 40.09%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.91. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 400 times – profiting $764.00;
  • And would lose other 600 times – having a loss of -$600.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$164.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is betting on Alianza FC worth it?

🔴 Alianza FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 34.69% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 350 times – this would give you a profit of $630.00
  • And would lose other 650 times – having a loss of -$650.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$20.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match CD Luis Angel Firpo x Alianza FC

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 CD Luis Angel Firpo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CD Luis Angel Firpo x Alianza FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 CD Luis Angel Firpo, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 CD Luis Angel Firpo.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Alianza FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CD Luis Angel Firpo x Alianza FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves