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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» CD Luis Angel Firpo x CD FAS Betting tips for November 30 in El Salvador Apertura
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 21h15 El Salvador Apertura
CD Luis Angel Firpo CD Luis Angel Firpo
PREDICTION No tip
CD FAS CD FAS
Don't miss this prediction!

CD Luis Angel Firpo x CD FAS Betting tips for November 30 in El Salvador Apertura

Our betting tip for CD Luis Angel Firpo x CD FAS, Saturday, 30/11/2024
πŸ“… 30/11/2024
21:15
CD Luis Angel Firpo CD Luis Angel Firpo
2.10
X
3.20
CD FAS CD FAS
3.10

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for CD Luis Angel Firpo x CD FAS:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for CD Luis Angel Firpo x CD FAS

Some important points for the tip for CD Luis Angel Firpo x CD FAS:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on CD Luis Angel Firpo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $392.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on CD FAS in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-285.0.
πŸ‘‰ CD Luis Angel Firpo did not concede a goal in the last 5 matches as home team.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 CD Luis Angel Firpo matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ Playing as the home team, CD Luis Angel Firpo conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against CD FAS.

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Summary

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Analysis from CD Luis Angel Firpo x CD FAS for the El Salvador Apertura – 30 of November

🏟️ CD Luis Angel Firpo X CD FAS – El Salvador Apertura
πŸ“… 30 of November, 2024 – 21:15
πŸ”΅ CD Luis Angel Firpo – Winning probability: 35.46% | Fair line: 2.82
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.58% | Fair line: 3.5
πŸ”΄ CD FAS – Winning probability: 35.96% | Fair line: 2.78
βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 CD Luis Angel Firpo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on CD Luis Angel Firpo x CD FAS is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1230061 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for CD Luis Angel Firpo x CD FAS

Is betting on CD Luis Angel Firpo worth it?

πŸ”΅ CD Luis Angel Firpo: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 35.46% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 350 times – profiting $385.00;
  • And would lose other 650 times – having a loss of -$650.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$265.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.58%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $638.00
  • And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$72.00.

Is it worth betting on CD FAS?

πŸ”΄ CD FAS: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 35.96% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 360 times – this would give you a profit of $756.00
  • And would lose other 640 times – having a loss of -$640.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just πŸ’°$116.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

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Handicaps analysis for the match CD Luis Angel Firpo x CD FAS

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 CD Luis Angel Firpo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CD Luis Angel Firpo x CD FAS

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 CD Luis Angel Firpo and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 CD Luis Angel Firpo.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 CD FAS.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CD Luis Angel Firpo x CD FAS

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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