CD Manchego CR x Toledo Betting tips for November 30 in Spain Tercera Group 18

Our betting tip for CD Manchego CR x Toledo, Saturday, 30/11/2024

📅 30/11/2024 16:00

CD Manchego CR 3.79

X 3.10

Toledo 1.92

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for CD Manchego CR x Toledo:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for CD Manchego CR x Toledo

The main points for the tip for CD Manchego CR x Toledo: 👉 If you had bet $100 on CD Manchego CR in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-105.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, CD Manchego CR scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Toledo, CD Manchego CR scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between CD Manchego CR x Toledo, with CD Manchego CR as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 CD Manchego CR has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Toledo playing at home.

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Analysis from CD Manchego CR x Toledo for the Spain Tercera Group 18 – 30 of November

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between CD Manchego CR and Toledo.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1229690 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for CD Manchego CR x Toledo

Is betting on CD Manchego CR worth it?

🔵 CD Manchego CR: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 16.14% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.79. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $446.40
• And would lose other 840 times – having a loss of -$840.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$393.60.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.17%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 310 times – profiting $651.00;
• And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$39.00.

Is betting on Toledo worth it?

🔴 Toledo: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 52.69% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.92. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 530 times – having a profit of $487.60;
• And would lose other 470 times – losing -$470.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$17.60, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Handicaps analysis for the match CD Manchego CR x Toledo

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 CD Manchego CR
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CD Manchego CR x Toledo

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 CD Manchego CR, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 CD Manchego CR.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Toledo.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CD Manchego CR x Toledo

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.25 goals.