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Home » Predictions » Others » CD Marathon x Olancho FC Betting tips for December 28 in Honduras Liga Nacional
Sunday, 28 December 2025, 21h00 Honduras Liga Nacional
CD Marathon CD Marathon
PREDICTION No tip
Olancho FC Olancho FC
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CD Marathon x Olancho FC Betting tips for December 28 in Honduras Liga Nacional

Our betting tip for CD Marathon x Olancho FC, Sunday, 28/12/2025
📅 28/12/2025
21:00
CD Marathon CD Marathon
1.75
X
3.25
Olancho FC Olancho FC
4.20

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for CD Marathon x Olancho FC:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for CD Marathon x Olancho FC

Some important points for the tip for CD Marathon x Olancho FC:

👉 If you had bet $100 on CD Marathon in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $105.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Olancho FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-370.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, CD Marathon scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Olancho FC, CD Marathon scored at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from CD Marathon x Olancho FC for the Honduras Liga Nacional – 28 of December

🏟️ CD Marathon X Olancho FC – Honduras Liga Nacional
📅 28 of December, 2025 – 21:00
🔵 CD Marathon – Winning probability: 58.50% | Fair line: 1.71
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.24% | Fair line: 4.13
🔴 Olancho FC – Winning probability: 17.26% | Fair line: 5.79
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 CD Marathon
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for CD Marathon x Olancho FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1456114 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for CD Marathon x Olancho FC

Is betting on CD Marathon worth it?

🔵 CD Marathon: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 58.5%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 590 times – this would give you a profit of $442.50
  • And would lose other 410 times – losing -$410.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$32.50. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.24% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $540.00;
  • And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$220.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Olancho FC?

🔴 Olancho FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 17.26% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 170 times – profiting $544.00;
  • And would lose other 830 times – having a loss of -$830.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$286.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match CD Marathon x Olancho FC

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 CD Marathon
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CD Marathon x Olancho FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 CD Marathon, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 CD Marathon.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -1.00, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 CD Marathon.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CD Marathon x Olancho FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves