CD Marathon Reserves x Lobos UPNFM Reserves Betting tips for December 23 in Honduras Reserve League
| 📅 23/12/2025 21:00 |
 CD Marathon Reserves1.74 |
X 3.68 |
Lobos UPNFM Reserves 3.96 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for CD Marathon Reserves x Lobos UPNFM Reserves:
🔮 CD Marathon Reserves wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on CD Marathon Reserves, you can win up to $870.00!
The main points for the tip for CD Marathon Reserves x Lobos UPNFM Reserves:
👉 If you had bet $100 on CD Marathon Reserves in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $21.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Lobos UPNFM Reserves in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $71.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, CD Marathon Reserves scored at least 1.0 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Lobos UPNFM Reserves scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 CD Marathon Reserves matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 Lobos UPNFM Reserves matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 CD Marathon Reserves caused at least one sending-off in its last 3 matches as the home team.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Lobos UPNFM Reserves conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 CD Marathon Reserves has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Lobos UPNFM Reserves playing at home.
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Analysis from CD Marathon Reserves x Lobos UPNFM Reserves for the Honduras Reserve League – 23 of December
🏟️ CD Marathon Reserves X Lobos UPNFM Reserves – Honduras Reserve League
📅 23 of December, 2025 – 21:00
🔵 CD Marathon Reserves – Winning probability: 79.59% | Fair line: 1.26
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 11.80% | Fair line: 8.48
🔴 Lobos UPNFM Reserves – Winning probability: 8.61% | Fair line: 11.61
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 CD Marathon Reserves
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks
When the best bet on CD Marathon Reserves x Lobos UPNFM Reserves is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1455935 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for CD Marathon Reserves x Lobos UPNFM Reserves
Is it worth betting on CD Marathon Reserves?
🔵 CD Marathon Reserves: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 79.59% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.74. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 800 times – having a profit of $592.00;
- And would lose other 200 times – losing -$200.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$392.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 11.8% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.68. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 120 times – having a profit of $321.60;
- And would lose other 880 times – having a loss of -$880.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$558.40.
Should you bet on Lobos UPNFM Reserves?
🔴 Lobos UPNFM Reserves: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 8.61% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.96. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 90 times – this would give you a profit of $266.40
- And would lose other 910 times – having a loss of -$910.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$643.60.
Handicaps analysis for the match CD Marathon Reserves x Lobos UPNFM Reserves
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 CD Marathon Reserves
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CD Marathon Reserves x Lobos UPNFM Reserves
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 CD Marathon Reserves, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 CD Marathon Reserves.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CD Marathon Reserves x Lobos UPNFM Reserves
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
