CD Marino x Estrella CF Betting tips for December 1 in Spain Tercera Group 12
| 📅 1/12/2024 12:00 |
 CD Marino1.20 |
X 6.00 |
Estrella CF  9.18 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for CD Marino x Estrella CF:
🔮 CD Marino wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on CD Marino, you can win up to $600.00!
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Some important points for the tip for CD Marino x Estrella CF: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Estrella CF in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. |
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Analysis from CD Marino x Estrella CF for the Spain Tercera Group 12 – 1 of December
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🏟️ CD Marino X Estrella CF – Spain Tercera Group 12 |
When the best bet on CD Marino x Estrella CF is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1230121 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for CD Marino x Estrella CF
Is it a good idea to bet on CD Marino?
🔵 CD Marino: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 95.96%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 960 times – this would give you a profit of $192.00
- And would lose other 40 times – losing -$40.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$152.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 3.32% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 30 times – having a profit of $150.00;
- And would lose other 970 times – having a loss of -$970.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$820.00.
Is it worth betting on Estrella CF?
🔴 Estrella CF: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 0.73% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 9.18. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 10 times – profiting $81.80;
- And would lose other 990 times – having a loss of -$990.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$908.20.
Handicaps analysis for the match CD Marino x Estrella CF
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.0 CD Marino
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CD Marino x Estrella CF
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -2.0 CD Marino, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.75 CD Marino.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.75 CD Marino.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CD Marino x Estrella CF
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.
