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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป CD Padura x San Ignacio Betting tips for November 25 in Spain Tercera Group 4
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Spain Tercera Group 4
CD Padura CD Padura
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 28% 1 X 2
San Ignacio San Ignacio
ODD: @3 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

CD Padura x San Ignacio Betting tips for November 25 in Spain Tercera Group 4

Our betting tip for CD Padura x San Ignacio, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
16:00
CD Padura CD Padura
2.16
X
3.00
San Ignacio San Ignacio
3.22

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for CD Padura x San Ignacio:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Tied Match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1500.00!

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The main points for the tip for CD Padura x San Ignacio:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on CD Padura in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $355.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, San Ignacio scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 San Ignacio matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 road matches, San Ignacio has not lost any of them.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for CD Padura x San Ignacio

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on CD Padura x San Ignacio?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on CD Padura x San Ignacio, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2023. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from CD Padura x San Ignacio for the Spain Tercera Group 4 – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ CD Padura X San Ignacio – Spain Tercera Group 4
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 16:00
๐Ÿ”ต CD Padura – Winning probability: 30.50% | Fair line: 3.28
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 40.62% | Fair line: 2.46
๐Ÿ”ด San Ignacio – Winning probability: 28.88% | Fair line: 3.46
โš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 CD Padura
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on CD Padura x San Ignacio is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1025263 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for CD Padura x San Ignacio

Is it a good idea to bet on CD Padura?

๐Ÿ”ต CD Padura: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.5% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.16. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $348.00
  • And would lose other 700 times – losing -$700.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$352.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 40.62% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 410 times – this would give you a profit of $820.00
  • And would lose other 590 times – losing -$590.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$230.00.

Should you bet on San Ignacio?

๐Ÿ”ด San Ignacio: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.88% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.22. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – profiting $643.80;
  • And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$66.20.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match CD Padura x San Ignacio

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 CD Padura
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CD Padura x San Ignacio

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 CD Padura, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 CD Padura.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 San Ignacio.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CD Padura x San Ignacio

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves