CD Vargas Torres x Guayaquil City Betting tips for March 21 in Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
| 📅 21/3/2025 00:00 |
 CD Vargas Torres4.20 |
X 3.50 |
Guayaquil City  1.70 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for CD Vargas Torres x Guayaquil City:
🔮 Guayaquil City wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Guayaquil City, you can win up to $850.00!
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The main points for the tip for CD Vargas Torres x Guayaquil City: 👉 If you had bet $100 on CD Vargas Torres in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-305.0. |
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Analysis from CD Vargas Torres x Guayaquil City for the Ecuador LigaPro Serie B – 21 of March
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🏟️ CD Vargas Torres X Guayaquil City – Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for CD Vargas Torres x Guayaquil City right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1284994 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for CD Vargas Torres x Guayaquil City
Is betting on CD Vargas Torres worth it?
🔵 CD Vargas Torres: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 15.16% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 150 times – this would give you a profit of $480.00
- And would lose other 850 times – losing -$850.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$370.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.9% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 290 times – profiting $725.00;
- And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$15.00.
Should you bet on Guayaquil City?
🔴 Guayaquil City: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 55.94% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 560 times – having a profit of $392.00;
- And would have lost other 440 times – with a loss of -$440.00 because of them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$48.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match CD Vargas Torres x Guayaquil City
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 CD Vargas Torres
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CD Vargas Torres x Guayaquil City
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 CD Vargas Torres, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 CD Vargas Torres.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Guayaquil City.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CD Vargas Torres x Guayaquil City
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
