CD Victoria x Lobos UPNFM Betting tips for April 2 in Honduras Liga Nacional

Our betting tip for CD Victoria x Lobos UPNFM, Wednesday, 2/4/2025

📅 2/4/2025 23:15

CD Victoria 1.73

X 3.40

Lobos UPNFM 4.20

Our algorithm has selected this tip for CD Victoria x Lobos UPNFM:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for CD Victoria x Lobos UPNFM

Important information for your tip for CD Victoria x Lobos UPNFM: 👉 If you had bet $100 on CD Victoria in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-132.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Lobos UPNFM in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Lobos UPNFM conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, CD Victoria conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Lobos UPNFM.

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Analysis from CD Victoria x Lobos UPNFM for the Honduras Liga Nacional – 2 of April

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between CD Victoria and Lobos UPNFM.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1294791 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for CD Victoria x Lobos UPNFM

Should you bet on CD Victoria?

🔵 CD Victoria: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 54.87%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.73. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 550 times – profiting $401.50;
• And would have lost other 450 times – with a loss of -$450.00 because of them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$48.50 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.04% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $624.00
• And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$116.00.

Is it worth betting on Lobos UPNFM?

🔴 Lobos UPNFM: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 19.09% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $608.00;
• And would lose other 810 times – losing -$810.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$202.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match CD Victoria x Lobos UPNFM

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 CD Victoria
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CD Victoria x Lobos UPNFM

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 CD Victoria and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 CD Victoria.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Lobos UPNFM.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CD Victoria x Lobos UPNFM

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.