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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» CD Victoria x Real Espana Betting tips for November 25 in Honduras Liga Nacional
Monday, 25 November 2024, 01h30 Honduras Liga Nacional
CD Victoria CD Victoria
PREDICTION No tip
Real Espana Real Espana
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CD Victoria x Real Espana Betting tips for November 25 in Honduras Liga Nacional

Our betting tip for CD Victoria x Real Espana, Monday, 25/11/2024
πŸ“… 25/11/2024
01:30
CD Victoria CD Victoria
2.76
X
3.35
Real Espana Real Espana
2.28

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for CD Victoria x Real Espana:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for CD Victoria x Real Espana

Important information for your tip for CD Victoria x Real Espana:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on CD Victoria in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $231.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Real Espana in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $120.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the home team, CD Victoria scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Real Espana, CD Victoria scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 8 CD Victoria matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 head-to-head matches between CD Victoria x Real Espana, with CD Victoria as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ Playing as the home team, CD Victoria conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Real Espana.

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Summary

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Analysis from CD Victoria x Real Espana for the Honduras Liga Nacional – 25 of November

🏟️ CD Victoria X Real Espana – Honduras Liga Nacional
πŸ“… 25 of November, 2024 – 01:30
πŸ”΅ CD Victoria – Winning probability: 25.38% | Fair line: 3.94
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 29.09% | Fair line: 3.44
πŸ”΄ Real Espana – Winning probability: 45.54% | Fair line: 2.2
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 CD Victoria
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for CD Victoria x Real Espana right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1225519 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for CD Victoria x Real Espana

Should you bet on CD Victoria?

πŸ”΅ CD Victoria: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.38% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.76. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $440.00
  • And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$310.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.09%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.35. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $681.50
  • And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$28.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on Real Espana?

πŸ”΄ Real Espana: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 45.54% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.28. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 460 times – profiting $588.80;
  • And would lose other 540 times – having a loss of -$540.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just πŸ’°$48.80. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

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Handicaps analysis for the match CD Victoria x Real Espana

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 CD Victoria
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CD Victoria x Real Espana

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 CD Victoria, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 CD Victoria.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CD Victoria x Real Espana

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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