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Home ยป Predictions ยป CE Constancia x Platges de Calvia Betting tips for October 18 in Spain Tercera Group 11
Friday, 18 October 2024, 17h30 Spain Tercera Group 11
CE Constancia CE Constancia
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 35% 1 X 2
Platges de Calvia Platges de Calvia
ODD: @3.08 Don't miss this prediction!

CE Constancia x Platges de Calvia Betting tips for October 18 in Spain Tercera Group 11

Our betting tip for CE Constancia x Platges de Calvia, Friday, 18/10/2024
๐Ÿ“… 18/10/2024
17:30
CE Constancia CE Constancia
2.31
X
3.08
Platges de Calvia Platges de Calvia
2.90

Our algorithm has selected this tip for CE Constancia x Platges de Calvia:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Tied Match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1540.00!

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The main points for the tip for CE Constancia x Platges de Calvia:

๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, CE Constancia scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, Platges de Calvia scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Platges de Calvia matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 head-to-head matches between CE Constancia x Platges de Calvia, with CE Constancia as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 road matches, Platges de Calvia has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from CE Constancia x Platges de Calvia for the Spain Tercera Group 11 – 18 of October

๐ŸŸ๏ธ CE Constancia X Platges de Calvia – Spain Tercera Group 11
๐Ÿ“… 18 of October, 2024 – 17:30
๐Ÿ”ต CE Constancia – Winning probability: 39.70% | Fair line: 2.52
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 35.41% | Fair line: 2.82
๐Ÿ”ด Platges de Calvia – Winning probability: 24.89% | Fair line: 4.02
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 CE Constancia
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on CE Constancia x Platges de Calvia is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1203336 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for CE Constancia x Platges de Calvia

Is it a good idea to bet on CE Constancia?

๐Ÿ”ต CE Constancia: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 39.7% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.31. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 400 times – profiting $524.00;
  • And would have lost other 600 times – with a loss of -$600.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$76.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 35.41% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.08. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 350 times – this would give you a profit of $728.00
  • And would lose other 650 times – losing -$650.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$78.00.

Is betting on Platges de Calvia worth it?

๐Ÿ”ด Platges de Calvia: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.89% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $475.00
  • And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$275.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match CE Constancia x Platges de Calvia

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 CE Constancia
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CE Constancia x Platges de Calvia

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 CE Constancia, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 CE Constancia.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CE Constancia x Platges de Calvia

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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