Clube da Aposta Clube da Aposta menu  
What would you like to find?
fundo 1
free bonus kenya betting
Home » Predictions » Others » Ceara x America MG Betting tips for November 19 in Brazil Serie B
Tuesday, 19 November 2024, 00h45 Brazil Serie B
Ceara Ceara
PREDICTION No tip
America MG America MG
Don't miss this prediction!

Ceara x America MG Betting tips for November 19 in Brazil Serie B

Our betting tip for Ceara x America MG, Tuesday, 19/11/2024
📅 19/11/2024
00:45
Ceara Ceara
1.80
X
3.50
America MG America MG
4.30

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Ceara x America MG:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Ceara x America MG

The main points for the tip for Ceara x America MG:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Ceara in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $234.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on America MG in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-295.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Ceara scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, America MG conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Ceara is good playing home: it has 7 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Ceara x America MG?

Maybe you already have an account on Bet365, but that is not a problem! We, from the Clube da Aposta, have been on this business since 2010 and know which bookies are trustworthy or not. Check out our list of the best betting sites in Kenya from 2024, you just have to click and bet:

Analysis from Ceara x America MG for the Brazil Serie B – 19 of November

🏟️ Ceara X America MG – Brazil Serie B
📅 19 of November, 2024 – 00:45
🔵 Ceara – Winning probability: 59.81% | Fair line: 1.67
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.86% | Fair line: 4.02
🔴 America MG – Winning probability: 15.33% | Fair line: 6.53
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Ceara
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Ceara x America MG is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1222248 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Ceara x America MG

Is it worth betting on Ceara?

🔵 Ceara: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 59.81% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 600 times – profiting $480.00;
  • And would have lost other 400 times – with a loss of -$400.00 because of them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$80.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.86%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $625.00;
  • And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$125.00.

Is it worth betting on America MG?

🔴 America MG: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 15.33%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 150 times – profiting $495.00;
  • And would lose other 850 times – having a loss of -$850.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$355.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Ceara x America MG

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Ceara
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Ceara x America MG

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Ceara, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Ceara. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Ceara x America MG

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
Newsletter
Newsletter

Receba o melhor conteúdo sobre Apostas Esportivas On-line direto na sua caixa de email

There is a problem with this PHP insert: missing both parameters