Cebrayil FK x Safa Baku Betting tips for December 19 in Azerbaijan Division 1
| 📅 19/12/2025 10:30 |
 Cebrayil FK6.00 |
X 4.00 |
Safa Baku 1.44 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Cebrayil FK x Safa Baku:
🔮 Safa Baku wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Safa Baku, you can win up to $720.00!
Some important points for the tip for Cebrayil FK x Safa Baku:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Cebrayil FK in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $118.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Safa Baku in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $173.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Safa Baku scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 Cebrayil FK matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
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Analysis from Cebrayil FK x Safa Baku for the Azerbaijan Division 1 – 19 of December
🏟️ Cebrayil FK X Safa Baku – Azerbaijan Division 1
📅 19 of December, 2025 – 10:30
🔵 Cebrayil FK – Winning probability: 5.02% | Fair line: 19.91
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 8.51% | Fair line: 11.75
🔴 Safa Baku – Winning probability: 86.47% | Fair line: 1.16
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Cebrayil FK
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Cebrayil FK x Safa Baku right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1454884 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Cebrayil FK x Safa Baku
Should you bet on Cebrayil FK?
🔵 Cebrayil FK: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 5.02% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 50 times – profiting $250.00;
- And would lose other 950 times – losing -$950.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$700.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 8.51% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 90 times – having a profit of $270.00;
- And would have lost other 910 times – with a loss of -$910.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$640.00.
Is it worth betting on Safa Baku?
🔴 Safa Baku: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 86.47%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.44. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 860 times – having a profit of $378.40;
- And would have lost other 140 times – with a loss of -$140.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$238.40.
Handicaps analysis for the match Cebrayil FK x Safa Baku
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Cebrayil FK
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cebrayil FK x Safa Baku
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 Cebrayil FK and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +1.0 Cebrayil FK.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.0 Cebrayil FK.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cebrayil FK x Safa Baku
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
