CEFAT Tirol x Floresta EC Betting tips for January 7 in Brazil Campeonato Cearense

Our betting tip for CEFAT Tirol x Floresta EC, Wednesday, 7/1/2026

📅 7/1/2026 22:00

CEFAT Tirol 2.65

X 3.10

Floresta EC 2.40

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for CEFAT Tirol x Floresta EC:

🔮 Floresta EC wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Floresta EC, you can win up to $1200.00!

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Some important points for the tip for CEFAT Tirol x Floresta EC:

👉 If you had bet $100 on CEFAT Tirol in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $140.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Floresta EC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $50.0.
👉 In the last 6 Floresta EC matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 road matches, Floresta EC has not lost any of them.

🤖 ChatGPT analysis on the prediction for CEFAT Tirol vs Floresta EC:

Lets analyze the match between CEFAT Tirol and Floresta EC in the Cearense Championship! ⚽

📊 Statistics show that CEFAT Tirol performs reasonably well at home, scoring an average of 1 goal per game and conceding 1 goal as well. They have more ball possession (54%) and create more chances (11 shots per game) compared to Floresta, which struggles away with an average of only 0 goals scored and 1 conceded, along with lower possession (39%) and fewer shots on target. This indicates a slight advantage for CEFAT Tirol in head-to-head matches.

📈 In the league table, although exact data isnt provided, we know Floresta is investing to improve its squad with the signing of experienced defender Valdo and reinforcements in technical management. This could give them an extra boost to seek positive results right away.

📰 News reports suggest Floresta is motivated after a friendly victory and strategic changes in the club. Meanwhile, CEFAT Tirol maintains its core ready for the debut. The game will be held at Estádio Presidente Vargas, a neutral venue for both — this slightly neutralizes the natural home advantage.

Analyzing the median odds: Cefat Tirol (2.65), Draw (3.1), Floresta (2.4), we have approximate normalized implied probabilities: Cefat ~36%, Draw ~32%, Floresta ~42%. Considering Florestas weak defensive stats away from home but recent investments, my fair estimate would be close to these but with a slight edge to a draw or an away win for Floresta due to the neutral ground.

The Bets Kenya model suggests value in betting on the away win with a positive EV (~11%), while bets on the home win or draw have a significant negative EV.

I agree with this view! Despite CEFAT Tirols greater offensive strength in their normal home games, playing on a neutral ground reduces this advantage; combined with Florestas renewed motivation for the new season and recent reinforcements, I believe it will be a balanced match where betting on the away victory offers a positive expected value above 5%.

Suggested Bet: Win for Floresta EC, as it shows a better risk-return ratio based on recent statistics, current news, and available odds.
Expected value calculated: +11%

Good luck with your bets! 🍀

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on CEFAT Tirol x Floresta EC?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on CEFAT Tirol x Floresta EC, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2026. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from CEFAT Tirol x Floresta EC for the Brazil Campeonato Cearense – 7 of January

Latest news on CEFAT Tirol x Floresta EC

CEFAT Tirol: CEFAT Tirol is ready to face Floresta in the Cearense competition on January 7, 2026, with the match starting at 22:00 UTC; the teams starting lineup will be confirmed on Sofascore about an hour before the game.

Floresta: Floresta EC announced on the morning of January 6, 2026, the signing of 33-year-old defender Valdo, a former Ceará player, with a contract valid until the end of Série C 2026, and also announced Fernando Leite, 52, as the new football manager for the season; the club has already defeated Ferroviário in a friendly match before the Cearense Championship, where the team, under Leston Júnior, aims to reach the semifinals and will make its official debut against Tirol on January 7 at Estádio Presidente Vargas, while preparing to face Ceará and other rivals in the competition.

Table analysis for the match between CEFAT Tirol and Floresta EC

CEFAT Tirol: CEFAT Tirol is in Group B of the A Series of the Cearense Championship 2026, currently in its early phase with only 1 of 4 rounds played. All teams in the group, including CEFAT, are still at zero points. The current standings are neutral, with no wins or losses so far. The match against Floresta EC is important for CEFAT Tirol to start earning points and secure a good position at the top of the table to advance to the main championship phase (Championship round). A win here will have a high impact, as it can set the path to avoid relegation zone and compete for a spot in the next phase.

Floresta EC: Like CEFAT, Floresta EC is in the same group and in the same situation, with no points yet in the competition. This match is the debut for both teams in the 2026 edition, and earning the first points is crucial to start the campaign aiming for qualification to the main phase, making this a highly relevant fixture. Floresta needs a good result to avoid falling behind in the qualification race and to steer clear of relegation or playoff risks.

Summary: The game between CEFAT Tirol and Floresta EC is of HIGH importance for both teams, as it occurs in the early group stage in a short competition with few rounds. The result will directly influence the chances of qualifying for the decisive phase of the championship and could affect the psychological state and positioning within the group. It is essential for both teams to seek victory to gain an advantage in the standings and avoid pressure in upcoming matches.

Tips for the Match Odds market for CEFAT Tirol x Floresta EC

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for CEFAT Tirol x Floresta EC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1460319 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Should you bet on CEFAT Tirol?

🔵 CEFAT Tirol: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.71% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.65. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $412.50;
• And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$337.50.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.72%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 220 times – profiting $462.00;
• And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$318.00.

Is betting on Floresta EC worth it?

🔴 Floresta EC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 53.58%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 540 times – this would give you a profit of $756.00
• And would lose other 460 times – losing -$460.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$296.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match CEFAT Tirol x Floresta EC

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 CEFAT Tirol
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CEFAT Tirol x Floresta EC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 CEFAT Tirol, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 CEFAT Tirol.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 CEFAT Tirol.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CEFAT Tirol x Floresta EC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.