Celta Vigo x Atletico Madrid Betting tips for September 26 in Spain La Liga

Our betting tip for Celta Vigo x Atletico Madrid, Thursday, 26/9/2024

📅 26/9/2024 16:00

Celta Vigo 3.75

X 3.70

Atletico Madrid 1.91

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Celta Vigo x Atletico Madrid:

🔮 Atletico Madrid wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Atletico Madrid, you can win up to $955.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Celta Vigo x Atletico Madrid: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Celta Vigo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $392.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico Madrid in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $55.0. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Celta Vigo scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Atletico Madrid scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Celta Vigo matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Celta Vigo conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Celta Vigo conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Atletico Madrid. 👉 Celta Vigo is good playing home: it has 5 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 In the last 8 road matches, Atletico Madrid has not lost any of them. 👉 Even as a visitor, Atletico Madrid won the last 4 head-to-head matches Celta Vigo´s territory

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Celta Vigo x Atletico Madrid?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Celta Vigo x Atletico Madrid, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Celta Vigo x Atletico Madrid for the Spain La Liga – 26 of September

When the best bet on Celta Vigo x Atletico Madrid is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1189012 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Celta Vigo x Atletico Madrid

Is it worth betting on Celta Vigo?

🔵 Celta Vigo: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 15.05%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 150 times – this would give you a profit of $412.50
• And would lose other 850 times – losing -$850.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$437.50.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 14.74% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 150 times – this would give you a profit of $405.00
• And would lose other 850 times – having a loss of -$850.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$445.00.

Is betting on Atletico Madrid worth it?

🔴 Atletico Madrid: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 70.21% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.91. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 700 times – having a profit of $637.00;
• And would lose other 300 times – having a loss of -$300.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$337.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Celta Vigo x Atletico Madrid

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Celta Vigo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Celta Vigo x Atletico Madrid

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Celta Vigo, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Celta Vigo.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Celta Vigo x Atletico Madrid

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.