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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Central Cordoba x Independiente Rivadavia Betting tips for October 18 in Argentina Liga Profesional
Friday, 18 October 2024, 21h45 Argentina Liga Profesional
Central Cordoba Central Cordoba
PREDICTION Central Cordoba wins Probability 56% 1 X 2
Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia
ODD: @2.05 Don't miss this prediction!

Central Cordoba x Independiente Rivadavia Betting tips for October 18 in Argentina Liga Profesional

Our betting tip for Central Cordoba x Independiente Rivadavia, Friday, 18/10/2024
๐Ÿ“… 18/10/2024
21:45
Central Cordoba Central Cordoba
2.05
X
2.90
Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia
3.90

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Central Cordoba x Independiente Rivadavia:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Central Cordoba wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Central Cordoba, you can win up to $1025.00!

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Important information for your tip for Central Cordoba x Independiente Rivadavia:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Central Cordoba in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $195.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Independiente Rivadavia in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Central Cordoba scored at least 2 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Central Cordoba matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Central Cordoba conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, Independiente Rivadavia conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Central Cordoba is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Central Cordoba x Independiente Rivadavia for the Argentina Liga Profesional – 18 of October

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Central Cordoba X Independiente Rivadavia – Argentina Liga Profesional
๐Ÿ“… 18 of October, 2024 – 21:45
๐Ÿ”ต Central Cordoba – Winning probability: 56.38% | Fair line: 1.77
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.09% | Fair line: 3.56
๐Ÿ”ด Independiente Rivadavia – Winning probability: 15.54% | Fair line: 6.44
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Central Cordoba
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Central Cordoba x Independiente Rivadavia right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1203336 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Central Cordoba x Independiente Rivadavia

Is it a good idea to bet on Central Cordoba?

๐Ÿ”ต Central Cordoba: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 56.38%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.05. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 560 times – profiting $588.00;
  • And would lose other 440 times – having a loss of -$440.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$148.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.09%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $532.00
  • And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$188.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Independiente Rivadavia?

๐Ÿ”ด Independiente Rivadavia: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 15.54% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $464.00
  • And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$376.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Central Cordoba x Independiente Rivadavia

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Central Cordoba
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Central Cordoba x Independiente Rivadavia

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Central Cordoba, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Central Cordoba.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Central Cordoba x Independiente Rivadavia

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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