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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Cerezo Osaka x Kyoto Sanga FC Betting tips for November 25 in Japan J-League
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Japan J-League
Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka
PREDICTION Cerezo Osaka wins Probability 16% 1 X 2
Kyoto Sanga FC Kyoto Sanga FC
ODD: @1.8 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Cerezo Osaka x Kyoto Sanga FC Betting tips for November 25 in Japan J-League

Our betting tip for Cerezo Osaka x Kyoto Sanga FC, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
05:00
Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka
1.80
X
3.60
Kyoto Sanga FC Kyoto Sanga FC
4.20

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Cerezo Osaka x Kyoto Sanga FC:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Cerezo Osaka wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Cerezo Osaka, you can win up to $900.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Cerezo Osaka x Kyoto Sanga FC:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Cerezo Osaka in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $205.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Kyoto Sanga FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Cerezo Osaka x Kyoto Sanga FC, with Cerezo Osaka as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Cerezo Osaka conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Kyoto Sanga FC.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Cerezo Osaka x Kyoto Sanga FC

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Cerezo Osaka x Kyoto Sanga FC?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2023, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Cerezo Osaka x Kyoto Sanga FC:

Analysis from Cerezo Osaka x Kyoto Sanga FC for the Japan J-League – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Cerezo Osaka X Kyoto Sanga FC – Japan J-League
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 05:00
๐Ÿ”ต Cerezo Osaka – Winning probability: 61.22% | Fair line: 1.63
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.30% | Fair line: 4.48
๐Ÿ”ด Kyoto Sanga FC – Winning probability: 16.48% | Fair line: 6.07
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Cerezo Osaka
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Cerezo Osaka x Kyoto Sanga FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1024961 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Cerezo Osaka x Kyoto Sanga FC

Is it worth betting on Cerezo Osaka?

๐Ÿ”ต Cerezo Osaka: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 61.22% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 610 times – profiting $488.00;
  • And would lose other 390 times – having a loss of -$390.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$98.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.3%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $572.00
  • And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$208.00.

Is it worth betting on Kyoto Sanga FC?

๐Ÿ”ด Kyoto Sanga FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 16.48% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 160 times – having a profit of $512.00;
  • And would lose other 840 times – losing -$840.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$328.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Cerezo Osaka x Kyoto Sanga FC

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Cerezo Osaka
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cerezo Osaka x Kyoto Sanga FC

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Cerezo Osaka and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Cerezo Osaka. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cerezo Osaka x Kyoto Sanga FC

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves