Cerro x Boston River Betting tips for November 18 in Uruguay Clausura

Our betting tip for Cerro x Boston River, Monday, 18/11/2024

📅 18/11/2024 22:00

Cerro 3.50

X 3.13

Boston River 2.00

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Cerro x Boston River:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Cerro x Boston River

Important information for your tip for Cerro x Boston River: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Cerro in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Boston River in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $231.0. 👉 In the last 3 Cerro matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 Boston River matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 Playing as the home team, Cerro conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Boston River.

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Analysis from Cerro x Boston River for the Uruguay Clausura – 18 of November

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Cerro x Boston River right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1222248 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Cerro x Boston River

Is it worth betting on Cerro?

🔵 Cerro: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.33% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 260 times – profiting $650.00;
• And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$90.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.09%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.13. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 310 times – profiting $660.30;
• And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$29.70.

Is it a good idea to bet on Boston River?

🔴 Boston River: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 42.58%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 430 times – having a profit of $430.00;
• And would lose other 570 times – having a loss of -$570.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$140.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Cerro x Boston River

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Cerro
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cerro x Boston River

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Cerro and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Cerro. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cerro x Boston River

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.