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Home » Predictions » Others » Cerro x Deportivo Maldonado Betting tips for November 8 in Uruguay Clausura
Friday, 08 November 2024, 21h00 Uruguay Clausura
Cerro Cerro
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 33% 1 X 2
Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado
ODD: @3.05 Don't miss this prediction!

Cerro x Deportivo Maldonado Betting tips for November 8 in Uruguay Clausura

Our betting tip for Cerro x Deportivo Maldonado, Friday, 8/11/2024
📅 8/11/2024
21:00
Cerro Cerro
2.17
X
3.05
Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado
3.28

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Cerro x Deportivo Maldonado:

🔮 Tied Match
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Some important points for the tip for Cerro x Deportivo Maldonado:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Cerro in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-300.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Deportivo Maldonado in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 Deportivo Maldonado did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 3 Deportivo Maldonado matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Cerro conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Deportivo Maldonado conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Deportivo Maldonado as away team: it comes from 6 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Cerro x Deportivo Maldonado for the Uruguay Clausura – 8 of November

🏟️ Cerro X Deportivo Maldonado – Uruguay Clausura
📅 8 of November, 2024 – 21:00
🔵 Cerro – Winning probability: 38.64% | Fair line: 2.59
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 33.58% | Fair line: 2.98
🔴 Deportivo Maldonado – Winning probability: 27.79% | Fair line: 3.6
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Cerro
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Cerro and Deportivo Maldonado.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1218313 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Cerro x Deportivo Maldonado

Is it a good idea to bet on Cerro?

🔵 Cerro: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 38.64% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.17. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 390 times – profiting $456.30;
  • And would lose other 610 times – having a loss of -$610.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$153.70.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 33.58% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.05. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 340 times – having a profit of $697.00;
  • And would have lost other 660 times – with a loss of -$660.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$37.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Deportivo Maldonado?

🔴 Deportivo Maldonado: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.79%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.28. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $638.40
  • And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$81.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Cerro x Deportivo Maldonado

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Cerro
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cerro x Deportivo Maldonado

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Cerro and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Cerro.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Deportivo Maldonado.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cerro x Deportivo Maldonado

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 1.00, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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