Cerro Largo x Defensor Sporting Betting tips for November 27 in Uruguay Clausura
| 📅 27/11/2024 21:45 |
 Cerro Largo2.80 |
X 3.00 |
Defensor Sporting  2.50 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Cerro Largo x Defensor Sporting:
🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1500.00!
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The main points for the tip for Cerro Largo x Defensor Sporting: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Cerro Largo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $140.0. |
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Analysis from Cerro Largo x Defensor Sporting for the Uruguay Clausura – 27 of November
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🏟️ Cerro Largo X Defensor Sporting – Uruguay Clausura |
When the best bet on Cerro Largo x Defensor Sporting is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1228982 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Cerro Largo x Defensor Sporting
Is it worth betting on Cerro Largo?
🔵 Cerro Largo: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.77% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $378.00
- And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$412.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 37.46% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 370 times – profiting $740.00;
- And would lose other 630 times – having a loss of -$630.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$110.00.
Is it worth betting on Defensor Sporting?
🔴 Defensor Sporting: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 41.77%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 420 times – profiting $630.00;
- And would lose other 580 times – losing -$580.00 with them.
Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$50.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.
Handicaps analysis for the match Cerro Largo x Defensor Sporting
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Cerro Largo
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cerro Largo x Defensor Sporting
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Cerro Largo, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Cerro Largo.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Cerro Largo.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cerro Largo x Defensor Sporting
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 1.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
