Cerro Largo x Montevideo Wanderers Betting tips for November 19 in Uruguay Clausura

Our betting tip for Cerro Largo x Montevideo Wanderers, Tuesday, 19/11/2024

📅 19/11/2024 00:30

Cerro Largo 2.15

X 2.99

Montevideo Wanderers 3.28

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Cerro Largo x Montevideo Wanderers:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Cerro Largo x Montevideo Wanderers

Some important points for the tip for Cerro Largo x Montevideo Wanderers: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Cerro Largo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-75.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Montevideo Wanderers in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $98.0. 👉 Cerro Largo did not concede a goal in the last 4 matches as home team. 👉 In the last 5 Cerro Largo matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Cerro Largo x Montevideo Wanderers, with Cerro Largo as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.

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Analysis from Cerro Largo x Montevideo Wanderers for the Uruguay Clausura – 19 of November

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Cerro Largo and Montevideo Wanderers.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1222248 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Cerro Largo x Montevideo Wanderers

Is betting on Cerro Largo worth it?

🔵 Cerro Largo: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 41.55%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.15. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 420 times – profiting $483.00;
• And would have lost other 580 times – with a loss of -$580.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$97.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.63% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.99. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 330 times – having a profit of $656.70;
• And would have lost other 670 times – with a loss of -$670.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$13.30.

Is betting on Montevideo Wanderers worth it?

🔴 Montevideo Wanderers: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.81%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.28. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 260 times – profiting $592.80;
• And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$147.20.

Handicaps analysis for the match Cerro Largo x Montevideo Wanderers

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Cerro Largo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cerro Largo x Montevideo Wanderers

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Cerro Largo and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Cerro Largo.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cerro Largo x Montevideo Wanderers

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.