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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Cerro x Liverpool Montevideo Betting tips for November 24 in Uruguay Clausura
Friday, 24 November 2023, 00h00 Uruguay Clausura
Cerro Cerro
PREDICTION Liverpool Montevideo Wins Probability 55% 1 X 2
Liverpool Montevideo Liverpool Montevideo
ODD: @1.91 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Cerro x Liverpool Montevideo Betting tips for November 24 in Uruguay Clausura

Our betting tip for Cerro x Liverpool Montevideo, Friday, 24/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 24/11/2023
22:00
Cerro Cerro
3.85
X
3.25
Liverpool Montevideo Liverpool Montevideo
1.91

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Cerro x Liverpool Montevideo:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Liverpool Montevideo wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Liverpool Montevideo, you can win up to $955.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Cerro x Liverpool Montevideo:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Cerro in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-238.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Liverpool Montevideo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $355.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 Cerro matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Cerro x Liverpool Montevideo, with Cerro as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Cerro conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 road matches, Liverpool Montevideo has not lost any of them.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Cerro x Liverpool Montevideo

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

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Analysis from Cerro x Liverpool Montevideo for the Uruguay Clausura – 24 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Cerro X Liverpool Montevideo – Uruguay Clausura
๐Ÿ“… 24 of November, 2023 – 22:00
๐Ÿ”ต Cerro – Winning probability: 13.62% | Fair line: 7.34
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.88% | Fair line: 3.24
๐Ÿ”ด Liverpool Montevideo – Winning probability: 55.51% | Fair line: 1.8
โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Cerro
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Cerro x Liverpool Montevideo right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1024961 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Cerro x Liverpool Montevideo

Is it worth betting on Cerro?

๐Ÿ”ต Cerro: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 13.62%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.85. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 140 times – profiting $399.00;
  • And would lose other 860 times – having a loss of -$860.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$461.00.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.88% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $697.50
  • And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just ๐Ÿ’ฐ$7.50 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Should you bet on Liverpool Montevideo?

๐Ÿ”ด Liverpool Montevideo: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 55.51%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.91. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 560 times – this would give you a profit of $509.60
  • And would lose other 440 times – losing -$440.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$69.60.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Cerro x Liverpool Montevideo

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Cerro
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cerro x Liverpool Montevideo

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Cerro, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Cerro.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.5 Cerro.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cerro x Liverpool Montevideo

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves