Cerro x Liverpool Montevideo Betting tips for November 24 in Uruguay Clausura
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24/11/2023 22:00 |
 Cerro3.85 |
X 3.25 |
Liverpool Montevideo  1.91 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Cerro x Liverpool Montevideo:
๐ฎ Liverpool Montevideo wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Liverpool Montevideo, you can win up to $955.00!
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The main points for the tip for Cerro x Liverpool Montevideo: ๐ If you had bet $100 on Cerro in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-238.0. |
๐ Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Cerro x Liverpool Montevideo
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Analysis from Cerro x Liverpool Montevideo for the Uruguay Clausura – 24 of November
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๐๏ธ Cerro X Liverpool Montevideo – Uruguay Clausura |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Cerro x Liverpool Montevideo right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1024961 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Cerro x Liverpool Montevideo
Is it worth betting on Cerro?
๐ต Cerro: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 13.62%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.85. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 140 times – profiting $399.00;
- And would lose other 860 times – having a loss of -$860.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$461.00.
Should you bet on draw?
โช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.88% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $697.50
- And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.
Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just ๐ฐ$7.50 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.
Should you bet on Liverpool Montevideo?
๐ด Liverpool Montevideo: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 55.51%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.91. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 560 times – this would give you a profit of $509.60
- And would lose other 440 times – losing -$440.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$69.60.
Handicaps analysis for the match Cerro x Liverpool Montevideo
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
โ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Cerro
โฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cerro x Liverpool Montevideo
โ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Cerro, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Cerro.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.5 Cerro.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cerro x Liverpool Montevideo
โฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
