Cerro x Montevideo Wanderers Betting tips for March 31 in Uruguay Apertura
| 📅 31/3/2025 22:00 |
 Cerro2.65 |
X 2.88 |
Montevideo Wanderers  2.70 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Cerro x Montevideo Wanderers:
🔮 Cerro wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Cerro, you can win up to $1325.00!
|
The main points for the tip for Cerro x Montevideo Wanderers: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Cerro in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-245.0. |
Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Cerro x Montevideo Wanderers?
If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2025. You just have to click, deposit and bet:
Analysis from Cerro x Montevideo Wanderers for the Uruguay Apertura – 31 of March
|
🏟️ Cerro X Montevideo Wanderers – Uruguay Apertura |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Cerro x Montevideo Wanderers right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1293334 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Cerro x Montevideo Wanderers
Should you bet on Cerro?
🔵 Cerro: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 43.22%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.65. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 430 times – having a profit of $709.50;
- And would have lost other 570 times – with a loss of -$570.00 because of them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$139.50.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 34.77% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.88. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 350 times – profiting $658.00;
- And would lose other 650 times – having a loss of -$650.00 with them.
Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$8.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.
Is it worth betting on Montevideo Wanderers?
🔴 Montevideo Wanderers: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.01% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $374.00
- And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$406.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Cerro x Montevideo Wanderers
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Cerro
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cerro x Montevideo Wanderers
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Cerro, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Cerro.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Cerro.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cerro x Montevideo Wanderers
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
