Cerro Porteno x Libertad Asuncion Betting tips for November 28 in Paraguay Division Profesional

Our betting tip for Cerro Porteno x Libertad Asuncion, Thursday, 28/11/2024

📅 28/11/2024 23:30

Cerro Porteno 1.74

X 3.40

Libertad Asuncion 4.24

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Cerro Porteno x Libertad Asuncion:

🔮 Libertad Asuncion wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Libertad Asuncion, you can win up to $2120.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Cerro Porteno x Libertad Asuncion: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Cerro Porteno in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-362.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Libertad Asuncion in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-343.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Cerro Porteno scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Libertad Asuncion, Cerro Porteno scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Cerro Porteno x Libertad Asuncion, with Cerro Porteno as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Cerro Porteno conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Cerro Porteno has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Libertad Asuncion playing at home.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Cerro Porteno x Libertad Asuncion?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Cerro Porteno x Libertad Asuncion, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Cerro Porteno x Libertad Asuncion for the Paraguay Division Profesional – 28 of November

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Cerro Porteno and Libertad Asuncion.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1229347 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Cerro Porteno x Libertad Asuncion

Is betting on Cerro Porteno worth it?

🔵 Cerro Porteno: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 54.67% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.74. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 550 times – having a profit of $407.00;
• And would lose other 450 times – having a loss of -$450.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$43.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 18.61% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 190 times – this would give you a profit of $456.00
• And would lose other 810 times – losing -$810.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$354.00.

Is it worth betting on Libertad Asuncion?

🔴 Libertad Asuncion: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.72% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.24. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $874.80;
• And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$144.80.

Handicaps analysis for the match Cerro Porteno x Libertad Asuncion

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Cerro Porteno
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cerro Porteno x Libertad Asuncion

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Cerro Porteno and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Cerro Porteno.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Libertad Asuncion.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cerro Porteno x Libertad Asuncion

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.