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Home » Predictions » Others » Cerro Porteno x Sol de America Betting tips for February 24 in Paraguay Division Profesional
Saturday, 24 February 2024, 23h45 Paraguay Division Profesional
Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno
PREDICTION Cerro Porteno wins Probability 82% 1 X 2
Sol de America Sol de America
ODD: @1.37 Don't miss this prediction!

Cerro Porteno x Sol de America Betting tips for February 24 in Paraguay Division Profesional

Our betting tip for Cerro Porteno x Sol de America, Saturday, 24/2/2024
📅 24/2/2024
23:45
Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno
1.37
X
4.32
Sol de America Sol de America
6.65

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Cerro Porteno x Sol de America:

🔮 Cerro Porteno wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Cerro Porteno, you can win up to $685.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Cerro Porteno x Sol de America:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Cerro Porteno in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-177.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Sol de America, Cerro Porteno scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Sol de America conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Cerro Porteno has won all the last 3 matches playing at home against Sol de America.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Cerro Porteno x Sol de America?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Cerro Porteno x Sol de America, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Cerro Porteno x Sol de America for the Paraguay Division Profesional – 24 of February

🏟️ Cerro Porteno X Sol de America – Paraguay Division Profesional
📅 24 of February, 2024 – 23:45
🔵 Cerro Porteno – Winning probability: 82.23% | Fair line: 1.22
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 13.43% | Fair line: 7.45
🔴 Sol de America – Winning probability: 4.34% | Fair line: 23.07
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Cerro Porteno
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Cerro Porteno x Sol de America is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1063755 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Cerro Porteno x Sol de America

Should you bet on Cerro Porteno?

🔵 Cerro Porteno: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 82.23% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.37. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 820 times – profiting $303.40;
  • And would lose other 180 times – losing -$180.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$123.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 13.43%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.32. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 130 times – profiting $431.60;
  • And would lose other 870 times – having a loss of -$870.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$438.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on Sol de America?

🔴 Sol de America: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 4.34%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.65. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 40 times – having a profit of $226.00;
  • And would lose other 960 times – having a loss of -$960.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$734.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Cerro Porteno x Sol de America

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Cerro Porteno
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cerro Porteno x Sol de America

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.5 Cerro Porteno, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Cerro Porteno.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Cerro Porteno.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cerro Porteno x Sol de America

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves