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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Cesena U19 x Salernitana U19 Betting tips for November 25 in Italy Campionato Primavera 2
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Italy Campionato Primavera 2
Cesena U19 Cesena U19
PREDICTION Cesena U19 wins Probability 0% 1 X 2
Salernitana U19 Salernitana U19
ODD: @1.13 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Cesena U19 x Salernitana U19 Betting tips for November 25 in Italy Campionato Primavera 2

Our betting tip for Cesena U19 x Salernitana U19, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
10:15
Cesena U19 Cesena U19
1.13
X
8.18
Salernitana U19 Salernitana U19
11.00

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Cesena U19 x Salernitana U19:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Cesena U19 wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Cesena U19, you can win up to $565.00!

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Important information for your tip for Cesena U19 x Salernitana U19:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Salernitana U19 in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Salernitana U19 did not score any goals in the last 6 matches as away team.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 9 matches as the home team, Cesena U19 scored at least 2 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 9 Cesena U19 matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Salernitana U19 matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Salernitana U19 conceded at least 3 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Cesena U19 is good playing home: it has 6 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
๐Ÿ‘‰ It is not a good time for Salernitana U19 as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Cesena U19 x Salernitana U19

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Summary

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Analysis from Cesena U19 x Salernitana U19 for the Italy Campionato Primavera 2 – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Cesena U19 X Salernitana U19 – Italy Campionato Primavera 2
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 10:15
๐Ÿ”ต Cesena U19 – Winning probability: 98.75% | Fair line: 1.01
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 0.98% | Fair line: 101.57
๐Ÿ”ด Salernitana U19 – Winning probability: 0.26% | Fair line: 381.29
โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Cesena U19
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Cesena U19 x Salernitana U19 is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1025263 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Cesena U19 x Salernitana U19

Is betting on Cesena U19 worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต Cesena U19: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 98.75%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.13. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 990 times – profiting $128.70;
  • And would lose other 10 times – having a loss of -$10.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$118.70.

Is betting on draw worth it?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 0.98% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 8.18. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 10 times – having a profit of $71.80;
  • And would lose other 990 times – having a loss of -$990.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$918.20.

Is it worth betting on Salernitana U19?

๐Ÿ”ด Salernitana U19: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 0.26% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 11.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 0 times – this would give you a profit of $0.00
  • And would lose other 1000 times – having a loss of -$1000.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$1000.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Cesena U19 x Salernitana U19

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Cesena U19
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cesena U19 x Salernitana U19

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Cesena U19, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -2.0 Cesena U19.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.00. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 2.0 Salernitana U19.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cesena U19 x Salernitana U19

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves