CF Talavera x Merida Betting tips for December 14 in Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1

Our betting tip for CF Talavera x Merida, Sunday, 14/12/2025

📅 14/12/2025 11:00

CF Talavera 2.80

X 2.90

Merida 2.40

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for CF Talavera x Merida:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for CF Talavera x Merida

The main points for the tip for CF Talavera x Merida:

👉 If you had bet $100 on CF Talavera in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $58.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Merida in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-210.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Merida scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, CF Talavera conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, CF Talavera conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Merida.
👉 In the last 3 road matches, Merida has not lost any of them.

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on CF Talavera x Merida?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on CF Talavera x Merida, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from CF Talavera x Merida for the Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 – 14 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for CF Talavera x Merida right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1452657 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for CF Talavera x Merida

Is it worth betting on CF Talavera?

🔵 CF Talavera: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.45% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 280 times – profiting $504.00;
• And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$216.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.53%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 320 times – profiting $608.00;
• And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$72.00.

Is it worth betting on Merida?

🔴 Merida: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 40.02% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 400 times – profiting $560.00;
• And would have lost other 600 times – with a loss of -$600.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$40.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match CF Talavera x Merida

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 CF Talavera
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CF Talavera x Merida

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 CF Talavera, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 CF Talavera.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CF Talavera x Merida

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.