Chad x Sierra Leone Betting tips for November 13 in Africa Cup of Nations Qualification

Our betting tip for Chad x Sierra Leone, Wednesday, 13/11/2024

📅 13/11/2024 19:00

Chad 5.00

X 3.20

Sierra Leone 1.68

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Chad x Sierra Leone:

🔮 Sierra Leone wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Sierra Leone, you can win up to $840.00!

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The main points for the tip for Chad x Sierra Leone: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Chad in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-305.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Sierra Leone in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 Chad did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as home team. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Sierra Leone scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Chad matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 Sierra Leone matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Chad conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Sierra Leone conceded at least 2 goal(s). 👉 It is not a good time for Chad as home team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last home matches.

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Chad x Sierra Leone?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Chad x Sierra Leone for the Africa Cup of Nations Qualification – 13 of November

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Chad x Sierra Leone right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1220960 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Chad x Sierra Leone

Is it worth betting on Chad?

🔵 Chad: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 4.9% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 50 times – this would give you a profit of $200.00
• And would lose other 950 times – losing -$950.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$750.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 12.6%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 130 times – this would give you a profit of $286.00
• And would lose other 870 times – having a loss of -$870.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$584.00.

Should you bet on Sierra Leone?

🔴 Sierra Leone: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 82.49% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.68. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 820 times – profiting $557.60;
• And would lose other 180 times – losing -$180.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$377.60.

Handicaps analysis for the match Chad x Sierra Leone

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Chad
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Chad x Sierra Leone

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.0 Chad and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.75 Chad.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Sierra Leone.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Chad x Sierra Leone

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 1.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.