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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Changwon City x Jinju Citizen FC Betting tips for November 25 in South Korea K3 League
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 South Korea K3 League
Changwon City Changwon City
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 23% 1 X 2
Jinju Citizen FC Jinju Citizen FC
ODD: @3.2 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Changwon City x Jinju Citizen FC Betting tips for November 25 in South Korea K3 League

Our betting tip for Changwon City x Jinju Citizen FC, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
05:00
Changwon City Changwon City
1.92
X
3.20
Jinju Citizen FC Jinju Citizen FC
3.64

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Changwon City x Jinju Citizen FC:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Tied Match
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Some important points for the tip for Changwon City x Jinju Citizen FC:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Changwon City in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $190.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Jinju Citizen FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $15.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, Jinju Citizen FC scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Jinju Citizen FC matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Jinju Citizen FC conceded at least 1 goal(s).

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Changwon City x Jinju Citizen FC

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Summary

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Analysis from Changwon City x Jinju Citizen FC for the South Korea K3 League – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Changwon City X Jinju Citizen FC – South Korea K3 League
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 05:00
๐Ÿ”ต Changwon City – Winning probability: 42.49% | Fair line: 2.35
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 34.16% | Fair line: 2.93
๐Ÿ”ด Jinju Citizen FC – Winning probability: 23.35% | Fair line: 4.28
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Changwon City
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Changwon City x Jinju Citizen FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1024927 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Changwon City x Jinju Citizen FC

Should you bet on Changwon City?

๐Ÿ”ต Changwon City: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 42.49% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.92. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 420 times – profiting $386.40;
  • And would lose other 580 times – losing -$580.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$193.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 34.16% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 340 times – this would give you a profit of $748.00
  • And would lose other 660 times – losing -$660.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$88.00.

Should you bet on Jinju Citizen FC?

๐Ÿ”ด Jinju Citizen FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.35%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.64. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $607.20;
  • And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$162.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Changwon City x Jinju Citizen FC

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Changwon City
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Changwon City x Jinju Citizen FC

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Changwon City, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Changwon City.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Changwon City x Jinju Citizen FC

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves