Changwon City x Jinju Citizen FC Betting tips for November 25 in South Korea K3 League
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25/11/2023 05:00 |
 Changwon City1.92 |
X 3.20 |
Jinju Citizen FC  3.64 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Changwon City x Jinju Citizen FC:
๐ฎ Tied Match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1600.00!
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Some important points for the tip for Changwon City x Jinju Citizen FC: ๐ If you had bet $100 on Changwon City in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $190.0. |
๐ Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Changwon City x Jinju Citizen FC
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Analysis from Changwon City x Jinju Citizen FC for the South Korea K3 League – 25 of November
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๐๏ธ Changwon City X Jinju Citizen FC – South Korea K3 League |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Changwon City x Jinju Citizen FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1024927 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Changwon City x Jinju Citizen FC
Should you bet on Changwon City?
๐ต Changwon City: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 42.49% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.92. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 420 times – profiting $386.40;
- And would lose other 580 times – losing -$580.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐ฐ-$193.60.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
โช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 34.16% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 340 times – this would give you a profit of $748.00
- And would lose other 660 times – losing -$660.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐ฐ$88.00.
Should you bet on Jinju Citizen FC?
๐ด Jinju Citizen FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.35%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.64. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $607.20;
- And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$162.80.
Handicaps analysis for the match Changwon City x Jinju Citizen FC
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
โ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Changwon City
โฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Changwon City x Jinju Citizen FC
โ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Changwon City, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Changwon City.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Changwon City x Jinju Citizen FC
โฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
