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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Changwon City x Jinju Citizen FC Betting tips for November 25 in South Korea K3 League
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 South Korea K3 League
Changwon City Changwon City
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 23% 1 X 2
Jinju Citizen FC Jinju Citizen FC
ODD: @3.28 Don't miss this prediction!

Changwon City x Jinju Citizen FC Betting tips for November 25 in South Korea K3 League

Our betting tip for Changwon City x Jinju Citizen FC, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
05:00
Changwon City Changwon City
1.90
X
3.28
Jinju Citizen FC Jinju Citizen FC
3.66

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Changwon City x Jinju Citizen FC:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Tied Match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1640.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Changwon City x Jinju Citizen FC:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Changwon City in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $190.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Jinju Citizen FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $15.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, Jinju Citizen FC scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Jinju Citizen FC matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Jinju Citizen FC conceded at least 1 goal(s).

๐Ÿ“Š You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Changwon City x Jinju Citizen FC

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Changwon City x Jinju Citizen FC?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Changwon City x Jinju Citizen FC, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2023. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Changwon City x Jinju Citizen FC for the South Korea K3 League – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Changwon City X Jinju Citizen FC – South Korea K3 League
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 05:00
๐Ÿ”ต Changwon City – Winning probability: 43.53% | Fair line: 2.3
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 33.25% | Fair line: 3.01
๐Ÿ”ด Jinju Citizen FC – Winning probability: 23.22% | Fair line: 4.31
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Changwon City
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Changwon City x Jinju Citizen FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1024961 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Changwon City x Jinju Citizen FC

Should you bet on Changwon City?

๐Ÿ”ต Changwon City: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 43.53% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 440 times – having a profit of $396.00;
  • And would lose other 560 times – having a loss of -$560.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$164.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 33.25% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.28. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $752.40
  • And would lose other 670 times – having a loss of -$670.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$82.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on Jinju Citizen FC?

๐Ÿ”ด Jinju Citizen FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.22% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.66. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $611.80;
  • And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$158.20.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Changwon City x Jinju Citizen FC

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Changwon City
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Changwon City x Jinju Citizen FC

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Changwon City and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Changwon City. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Changwon City x Jinju Citizen FC

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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